Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 4/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Thursday, April 27, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+175) Minnesota (-205)

The Minnesota Twins (14-10) are welcoming the Kansas City Royals (6-18) at Target Field on Thursday. The line on this matchup has the Royals at +175 and the Twins open at -205. The total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Zack Greinke and Tyler Mahle.

As a team, the Kansas City Royals are compiling 3.4 runs per game, which ranks them 28th in baseball. They have 82 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .279. The Royals have compiled 37 doubles as a squad and have knocked 18 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 76 runs batted in and 177 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate sits at .222. Kansas City is slugging .351 and have been called out on strikes 212 times, while being walked on 55 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.51 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.43. Royals pitchers have allowed 34 long balls in addition to 133 total runs (27th in baseball). Kansas City has surrendered 222 hits (9.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 127 earned runs. The Royals have a team earned run average of 5.40 so far this year (28th in MLB), and they have rung up 198 batters. They have walked 79 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.79 as a squad over the course of the season.

Royals relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 14 times in addition to having 16 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 5 holds so far this season (27th in MLB). The Royals relievers have earned a save percentage of 57.1% and stepped onto the hill in 12 save situations. They have compiled 4 saves this year and have blown 3 of their 7 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 23 base runners on the campaign with 47.8% of those players earned a run for their team. The Royals have dispatched 76 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Royals have turned 68.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,905 innings on the field, which has them sitting 23rd in pro baseball. The Kansas City Royals have 635 putouts on the year, as well as 198 assists and 8 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .990 which is 6th in baseball, and have a total of 18 double plays.

Greinke has taken the hill for 3,274 innings and has tallied 2,901 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average is 3.43 (1,249 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.168. He has allowed 3,080 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) with 743 walks. Greinke (223-144 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.48 and he has faced 13,399 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Twins hold a slugging % of .394 and they average 4.29 runs per game (19th in baseball). They have hit 37 doubles, while getting a free base 70 times as well as putting up 103 runs. Minnesota has tallied 28 home runs on the year and 98 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 224 instances (7th in MLB) and have tallied 188 base knocks. The Minnesota Twins have a team on-base percentage of .305 as well as a team batting average of .234 on the year.

The Twins have a WHIP of 1.074 with a FIP of 3.51 as a squad this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.80 (232 strikeouts against 58 free passes). They are sitting at 4th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 171. They have surrendered 24 home runs and they allow 3.46 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 82 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.17 (75 earned runs conceded).

With 28 save situations, the Twins have 17 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. Minnesota has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 11 save chances and they have tallied 7 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 23 times in high leverage situations and on 11 occasions with runners on base. Minnesota bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 23.1% out of their 13 inherited runners. They rank 13th in baseball with a save rate of 63.6%, and they have sent 65 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this season.

In 1,923 innings on the field, the Twins have a efficiency on defense of 71.6% (5th in baseball). The Minnesota Twins have turned 19 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (11th in baseball). The Twins have recorded 197 assists, 10 errors and have amassed 641 putouts this year.

In his career, Mahle has surrendered 596 base hits and he has 671 K's in 631 frames. He has surrendered a total of 303 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.309 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.90 and he has gone up against 2,705 hitters during his career. Mahle (33-41 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.32 ERA while allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (-205)

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