Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 5/13/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+130) Milwaukee (-150)

The Kansas City Royals (12-27) are traveling to American Family Field on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Milwaukee Brewers (20-17). The line on this contest has the Royals at +130 while the Brewers are at -150. The over/under is set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Zack Greinke and Adrian Houser.

The Royals have accumulated 70 two-baggers as a team and have hit 38 balls out of the park. Kansas City has a slugging rate of .396 and have been called out on strikes 337 times, while drawing a walk on 107 occasions. As a team, the Kansas City Royals are knocking in 4.2 runs/g, which has them at 23rd in baseball. They have recorded 155 RBI's as well as 314 hits this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .239. They have accumulated 163 runs while holding a team OBP of .302.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.35 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.43. Royals pitchers have relinquished 51 home runs in addition to 215 total runs (28th in MLB). Kansas City has surrendered 352 base knocks (9.3 per 9 innings) as well as 205 earned runs. The Royals have compiled a team earned run average of 5.38 on the campaign (28th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 322 batters. They have walked 137 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.72 as a team on the campaign.

The Royals have sent 127 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 33 base runners so far this season and 45.5% of those players crossed home plate. They have accumulated 5 saves so far this year and have not converted 5 of 10 chances to get a save. The Royals bullpen have earned a save percentage of 50.0% and has come into the game in 20 save situations. The relievers have a total of 10 holds this year (29th in MLB). Royals relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 20 times and also have had 25 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Kansas City Royals have a tally of 1,028 putouts on the campaign, as well as 332 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .991 which ranks 5th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 30 double plays. The Royals have transformed 68.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 3,084 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 22nd in pro baseball.

Greinke (224-145 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.49 while he has faced 13,460 batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 3,097 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 746 walks. His earned run average is 3.45 (1,259 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.169. Greinke has taken the hill for 3,288 frames and has totaled 2,909 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The Brewers have a team SLG% of .386 and they tally 4.35 runs per game (17th in MLB). They have recorded 46 two-baggers, while taking a walk 128 times and scoring 161 runs. Milwaukee has accumulated 43 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 155 runs batted in. They have struck out on 333 occasions (13th in baseball) and are sitting with 291 hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have compiled an on-base percentage of .314 as well as a batting average of .239 on the season.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.257 with a FIP of 4.60 as a team this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.80 (285 strikeouts vs 116 bases on balls). They come in at 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 295. They have allowed 46 long balls and they concede 4.10 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The Milwaukee pitching staff have allowed 149 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.74 (136 earned runs surrendered).

Milwaukee has had relief pitchers take the mound in 14 save opportunities and they have walked away with 9 saves. They are ranked 14th in MLB holding a save rate of 64.3%, and they have dispatched 114 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. Their relievers have come in 32 times in high leverage situations in addition to 33 occasions with base runners. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 24.5% out of their 49 inherited runners. With 34 save situations, the Brewers have tallied 19 holds in addition to 5 blown saves.

In 2,943 innings played, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 71.6% (3rd in pro baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 30 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (11th in baseball). The Brewers have racked up 333 assists, 16 errors and have earned 981 putouts this year.

During his MLB career, Houser has allowed 406 base hits and he has 348 K's in 432 frames. He has conceded a total of 191 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.352 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.94 and he has gone up against 1,850 opposing batters during his career. Houser (23-29 career win-loss mark) has a 3.97 ERA while giving up 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+130)

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