Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 9/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Thursday, September 28, 2023

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (-142) Detroit (+120)

The Detroit Tigers (74-83) will try to defeat the Kansas City Royals (54-103) at Comerica Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Royals at -142 while the Tigers are coming in at +120. The total is 7.5. The men taking the mound will be Cole Ragans and Sawyer Gipson-Long.

As a team, the Kansas City Royals are compiling 4.2 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 24th in the league. They have a total of 654 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .302. The Royals have tallied 252 two-baggers as a team and have hit 156 balls out of the park. They have 629 runs batted in and 1,277 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate sits at .243. Kansas City owns a slugging percentage of .396 and have been rung up 1,352 times, while drawing a walk on 401 occasions.

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The Royals hold a team earned run average of 5.15 over the course of the season (28th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,226 hitters. Royals pitchers have conceded 202 home runs in addition to 832 runs (28th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 533 opposing players and their FIP is 4.71 as a squad this season. Kansas City has conceded 1,384 hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and also 782 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.30 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.40.

The Royals have sent 511 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 186 base runners this year and 36.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 27 saves so far this year and have blown 24 of 51 save opportunities. The Royals bullpen have a save rate of 52.9% and stepped onto the hill in 116 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 65 holds this season (28th in the league). Royals bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 115 times as well as having 134 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Kansas City Royals have accounted for 4,098 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,350 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which has them ranked 15th in the majors, and they have twisted 120 double plays. The Royals have turned 68.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,294 innings on the field, which ranks them 22nd in professional baseball.

Ragans has thrown 129 innings and has accounted for 132 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.82 (55 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.242. He has given up 108 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has 53 walks. Ragans (7-7 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.75 and he has faced 539 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Tigers hold a slugging percentage of .377 and they are scoring 4.00 runs per game (29th in MLB). They have tallied 236 doubles, while getting a free base 483 times and earning 628 runs. Detroit has accounted for 158 home runs for the season as well as 602 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,441 occasions (8th in the league) and are sitting with 1,244 hits. The Detroit Tigers have accumulated a team OBP of .302 and a batting average of .234 on the campaign.

The Detroit pitching staff have conceded 728 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.32 (670 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 183 HR's and they allow 4.69 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Tigers have a WHIP of 1.251 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.16 as a unit this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.60 (1,332 strikeouts against 464 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,284.

With 166 save situations, the Tigers have earned 99 holds and also 22 blown saves. Detroit has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 62 save opportunities and they have tallied 40 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 161 times in high leverage situations in addition to 166 occasions with runners on. Detroit relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.9% out of their 236 inherited base runners. They are ranked 12th in MLB holding a save percentage of 64.5%, and they have dispatched 516 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

In 12,576 innings played, the Tigers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (10th in MLB). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 128 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in baseball). The Tigers have racked up 1,362 assists, 97 errors and have accounted for 4,192 putouts on the season.

Gipson-Long (1-0 career win-loss mark) has a 2.40 ERA and has given up 6.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.33 and he has faced 60 batters during his career. He has given up a total of 4 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.067 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.7. So far in his MLB career, Gipson-Long has allowed 10 base knocks and he has 20 punch outs in 15 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Kansas City (-142)

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