Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 7/25/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Tuesday, July 25, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+145) Cleveland (-170)

The Kansas City Royals (28-73) are traveling to Progressive Field on Tuesday where they will play the Cleveland Guardians (49-50). The odds on this game have the Royals at +145 while the Guardians are coming in at -170. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Zack Greinke and Aaron Civale.

Kansas City has a slugging % of .376 and have been rung up 901 times, while taking a walk on 250 occasions. They have accrued 359 RBI's as well as 783 base knocks this year, while their team batting average is sitting at .233. The Royals have earned 164 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 89 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 374 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .293. As a unit, the Kansas City Royals are compiling 3.7 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 29th in the league.

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The Royals hold a team ERA of 5.25 on the season (28th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 795 batters. Royals pitchers have yielded 121 home runs in addition to 543 runs (28th in MLB). They have walked 361 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.62 as a team for the year. Kansas City has allowed 893 base hits (9.2 per 9 innings) as well as 512 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.20 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.43.

The Royals relievers have earned a save rate of 48.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 59 save situations. The relievers have inherited 110 runners for the year and 40.9% of those players crossed home plate. Royals relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 66 times in addition to having 76 appearances in high leverage situations. The Royals have dispatched 329 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have recorded 32 holds so far this season (28th in the league). They have recorded 13 saves for the year and have blown 14 of their 27 chances to get a save.

The Kansas City Royals have 2,632 putouts for the season, as well as 846 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them sitting 13th in MLB, and have a total of 74 double plays. The Royals have turned 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,896 innings on the field, ranking them 24th in pro baseball.

Greinke (224-151 career mark) has a FIP of 3.51 and he has gone up against 13,691 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 3,160 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 754 walks. His ERA is 3.48 (1,293 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.171. Greinke has taken the ball for 3,343 innings and has 2,947 punch outs thus far in his career.

Cleveland has knocked in 74 home runs for the season to go along with 386 RBIs. They have notched 182 doubles, while walking 291 times and scoring 412 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have compiled an OBP of .315 and a team batting average of .253 on the year. The Guardians hold a team slugging percentage of .383 and they score 4.16 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have struck out on 696 instances (30th in baseball) and have recorded 856 hits.

The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 413 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.88 (383 earned runs given up). They have relinquished 99 long balls and they give up 4.19 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.267 in addition to having a FIP of 4.09 as a team this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.10 (795 strikeouts vs 310 walks). They rank 15th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 815.

Sitting with 112 save situations, the Guardians have earned 57 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. Cleveland has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 51 save chances and they have walked away with 30 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 128 times in high leverage situations in addition to 89 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relievers have an inherited score rate of 24.3% out of their 115 inherited base runners. They are ranked 22nd in MLB with a save rate of 58.8%, and they have sent 328 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 67 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (8th in MLB). The Guardians have recorded 900 assists, 46 errors and have accumulated 2,665 putouts for the season. In 7,995 innings on the field, the Guardians have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (6th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Civale has surrendered 377 base knocks while he has earned 361 punch outs in 416 innings pitched. Civale (27-23 career record) has a 3.87 ERA while giving up 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 179 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.154 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.50 and he has gone up against 1,699 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Kansas City (+145)

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