Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 7/24/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, July 24, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+170) Cleveland (-200)

The Cleveland Guardians (49-50) will try to defeat the Kansas City Royals (28-73) at Progressive Field on Monday. The line on this contest has Kansas City at +170 and Cleveland is at -200. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Ryan Yarbrough and Aaron Civale.

The Royals have tallied 162 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 85 balls out of the park. Kansas City has a slugging rate of .372 and have been called out on strikes 890 times, while drawing a walk on 250 occasions. As a team, the Kansas City Royals are putting up 3.7 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 29th in MLB. They have 354 RBI's and 771 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .232. They have tallied 369 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .293.

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The Royals hold a team earned run average of 5.23 on the year (28th in the league), and the staff has rung up 789 batters. Royals pitchers have given up 119 home runs in addition to 535 runs (28th in the league). They have walked 357 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.61 as a unit over the course of the season. Kansas City has surrendered 882 base hits (9.1 per 9 innings) as well as 505 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.21 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.43.

Royals relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 65 times in addition to having 76 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 32 holds this year (28th in the league). The Royals relievers have recorded a save rate of 48.1% and stepped onto the hill in 59 save situations. They have earned 13 saves on the campaign and have blown 14 out of their 27 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 109 runners over the course of the season with 41.3% of those runners ended up scoring. The Royals have sent 325 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Kansas City Royals have earned a total of 2,608 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 839 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which puts them in 13th in MLB, and have earned 73 double plays. The Royals have converted 68.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,824 innings, ranking them 22nd in baseball.

Yarbrough (42-36 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.18 and he has gone up against 2,594 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 605 base knocks (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 140 free passes. His earned run average is 4.39 (301 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.206. Yarbrough has thrown 617 innings and is sitting with 490 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

The Guardians hold a team slugging % of .382 and they score 4.15 runs per game (25th in MLB). They have put up 182 doubles, while getting a free base 288 times and scoring 407 runs. Cleveland has 71 home runs on the season to go along with 381 RBIs. They have struck out on 688 occasions (30th in MLB) and have totaled 847 hits. The Cleveland Guardians have accumulated an on-base percentage of .315 as well as a team batting average of .253 so far this season.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.263 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.11 as a team this year. They rank 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 806. The Cleveland pitching staff have yielded 405 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.85 (376 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 (781 strikeouts against 303 free passes). They have relinquished 99 homers and they allow 4.15 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball).

Cleveland has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 50 save opportunities and they have earned 30 saves. They sit at 20th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 321 relievers onto the field so far this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 127 times in high leverage situations and on 88 occasions with runners on. Cleveland relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 23.0% of 113 inherited runners. Sitting with 111 save situations, the Guardians have 57 holds and 20 blown saves.

In 7,905 innings on the diamond, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (5th in baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 66 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in pro baseball). The Guardians have accrued 893 assists, 45 errors and have notched a total of 2,635 putouts for the season.

During his career, Civale has allowed 377 hits while he has tallied 361 punch outs in 416 frames. Civale (27-23 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.87 ERA while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 179 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.154 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.50 and he has gone up against 1,699 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kansas City (+170)

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