Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 7/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Date: Saturday, July 1, 2023

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+125) Texas (-145)

The Texas Rangers (49-32) welcome the Houston Astros (44-37) at Globe Life Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Astros at +125 while the Rangers are coming in at -145. The over/under is 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Hunter Brown and Nathan Eovaldi.

Houston has a slugging % of .408 and have been called out on strikes 643 times, while drawing a walk on 263 occasions. They have accrued 361 RBI's and 681 hits on the season, and their team batting average is at .248. The Astros have hit 141 doubles as a unit and have hit 95 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 377 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .319. As a unit, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.7 runs/g, which ranks them 11th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.99 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.25. Astros pitchers have surrendered 88 long balls in addition to 321 total runs (3rd in baseball). Houston has allowed 654 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 288 earned runs. The Astros are sitting with a team ERA of 3.58 so far this year (1st in baseball), and their staff has rung up 750 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 251 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.97 as a team on the season.

The Astros have sent 248 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 69 runners so far this year and 30.4% of those runners crossed the plate. They have accumulated 21 saves so far this season and have blown 12 of 33 chances to save the game. The Astros relievers have recorded a save percentage of 63.6% and stepped onto the hill in 75 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 41 holds this season (18th in MLB). Astros pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 45 times in addition to having 70 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Houston Astros have accounted for 2,175 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 701 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them ranked 7th in professional baseball, and they have turned 73 double plays. The Astros have transformed 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,525 innings on the diamond, ranking them 15th in MLB.

Brown has thrown 107 innings and has accounted for 119 K's during his career. Brown (8-4 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.26 while facing 434 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.10 (37 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.174. He has allowed 89 base knocks (7.5 hits per 9 innings) with 37 free passes.

The Rangers have a SLG% of .459 and they score 5.96 runs per contest (1st in MLB). They have recorded 176 doubles, while getting a free base 284 times as well as scoring 483 runs. Texas has accounted for 111 home runs this season as well as 464 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 708 instances (16th in the league) and have notched a total of 781 base hits. The Texas Rangers hold an OBP of .343 and a batting average of .274 for the season.

The Rangers have a WHIP of 1.183 with a FIP of 4.02 as a team this year. They rank 3rd in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 621. The Texas pitching staff have allowed 326 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.82 (305 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.30 (662 strikeouts vs 230 walks). They have relinquished 83 home runs and they relinquish 4.08 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB).

With 68 save situations, the Rangers have 39 holds and 13 blown saves. Texas has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 28 save opportunities and they have converted 15 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 65 times in high leverage situations and on 74 occasions with runners on base. Texas bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.3% out of 122 inherited base runners. They are ranked 26th in the league with a save rate of 53.6%, and they have dispatched 217 relief pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

In 6,474 innings on the field, the Rangers hold a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (3rd in professional baseball). The Texas Rangers have gotten 73 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (6th in the majors). The Rangers have accrued 724 assists, 35 errors and have accounted for 2,158 putouts over the course of the season.

During his pro baseball career, Eovaldi has surrendered 1,389 base knocks while he has tallied 1,161 K's in 1,363 frames. He has allowed 614 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.297 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.06 and he has gone up against 5,762 opposing hitters in his MLB career. Eovaldi (76-71 career mark) has earned a 4.05 ERA and has surrendered 9.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Texas (-145) and under 8 runs

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