Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 9/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Wednesday, September 27, 2023

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-125) Seattle (+105)

The Houston Astros (86-71) are en route to T-Mobile Park on Wednesday where they will try to beat the Seattle Mariners (84-72). The line on this contest has Houston at -125 and Seattle is sitting at +105. The total is 8. The expected starting pitchers are Framber Valdez and Bryce Miller.

As a team, the Houston Astros are putting up 5.1 runs/g, which has them sitting at 5th in the league. They have earned a total of 806 runs and hold an OBP of .332. The Astros have accrued 271 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 217 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 780 runs batted in as well as 1,394 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is at .259. Houston is slugging .437 and have been called out on strikes 1,202 times, while taking a walk on 539 occasions.

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The Astros have an earned run average of 3.99 over the course of the season (9th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,415 batters. Astros pitchers have surrendered 199 long balls in addition to 687 runs (12th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 511 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.34 as a unit for the year. Houston has surrendered 1,281 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 622 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.28.

The Astros have dispatched 495 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 151 runners over the course of the season and 31.8% of those runners crossed home plate. They have tallied 40 saves on the season and have not converted 19 out of their 59 chances to save the game. The Astros bullpen have a save rate of 67.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 140 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 80 holds on the campaign (17th in baseball). Astros relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 93 times as well as having 143 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Houston Astros have amassed 4,204 putouts this year, as well as 1,300 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which ranks 12th in the majors, and have accumulated 139 double plays. The Astros have converted 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,612 innings, which ranks them 11th in baseball.

Valdez (53-34 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.60 while he has faced 2,956 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 596 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 261 free passes. His ERA is 3.38 (266 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.210. Valdez has taken the hill for 708 innings and has accumulated 690 strikeouts during his career.

The Mariners have a SLG% of .415 and they tally 4.72 runs per contest (12th in baseball). They have hit 279 doubles, while walking 526 times as well as putting up 736 runs. Seattle is sitting with 203 home runs on the year to go along with 708 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,540 instances (2nd in MLB) and have totaled 1,291 base hits. The Seattle Mariners have accumulated an on-base percentage of .322 in addition to a batting average of .243 on the season.

The Mariners have a WHIP of 1.188 in addition to having a FIP of 3.89 as a pitching staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 9.00 (1,401 strikeouts against 399 bases on balls). They rank 7th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,258. They have given up 179 long balls and they concede 4.14 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Seattle pitching staff have allowed 641 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.77 (584 earned runs yielded).

Seattle relievers hold an inherited score rate of 26.1% of 184 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 177 times in high leverage situations in addition to 144 occasions with base runners. With 161 save situations, the Mariners have 95 holds and 20 blown saves. They are currently ranked 6th in the league with a save percentage of 68.3%, and they have dispatched 525 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Seattle has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 63 save chances and they have converted 43 saves.

Out of their 12,558 innings on the diamond, the Mariners hold a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (7th in pro baseball). The Seattle Mariners have gotten 122 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in the majors). The Mariners have accrued 1,332 assists, 72 errors and are sitting with 4,186 putouts on the season.

Miller (8-6 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.17 ERA and has given up 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.60 and he has faced 519 hitters so far in his career. He has allowed a total of 59 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.123 and a FIP of 3.8. During his MLB career, Miller has surrendered 118 base hits while earning 115 punch outs in 127 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (+105)

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