Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 9/26/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Tuesday, September 26, 2023

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+124) Seattle (-146)

The Seattle Mariners (84-71) are hosting the Houston Astros (85-71) at T-Mobile Park on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has Houston at +124 and Seattle is at -146. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Cristian Javier and George Kirby.

Houston has a slugging % of .436 and have struck out 1,192 times, while taking a walk on 536 occasions. They have compiled 775 runs batted in and 1,385 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .258. The Astros have tallied 269 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 215 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 801 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .332. As a team, the Houston Astros are putting up 5.1 runs per game, which is 5th in baseball.

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The Astros have an earned run average of 4.01 on the year (10th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,406 batters. Astros pitchers have given up 199 home runs and 686 runs in total (12th in baseball). They have walked 510 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.36 as a squad so far this season. Houston has given up 1,278 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 621 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.76 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28.

The Astros relievers have a save rate of 67.8% and has entered the game in 140 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 150 base runners on the year and 31.3% of those runners crossed the plate. Astros pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 92 times in addition to having 143 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 494 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have recorded 80 holds for the season (17th in baseball). They have earned 40 saves for the year and have blown 19 out of their 59 save opportunities.

The Houston Astros have earned 4,177 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,293 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which ranks 12th in the majors, and they have turned 138 double plays. The Astros have turned 69.6% of balls in play into outs in their 12,531 innings on the field, ranking them 11th in professional baseball.

Javier (29-16 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.17 while going up against 1,868 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 329 hits (6.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 180 walks. His earned run average is 3.57 (181 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.117. Javier has taken the mound for 455 innings and has earned 527 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Seattle Mariners have accumulated an OBP of .323 and a batting average of .244 for the season. They have struck out on 1,531 occasions (2nd in baseball) and have totaled 1,288 hits. Seattle has tallied 203 home runs for the season to go along with 707 RBIs. The Mariners hold a slugging percentage of .416 and they score 4.74 runs per contest (10th in MLB). They have hit 278 doubles, while getting a free base 525 times and scoring 735 runs.

The Seattle pitching staff have given up 636 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.76 (579 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 177 home runs and they give up 4.13 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Mariners have a team WHIP of 1.187 with a FIP of 3.88 as a squad so far this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.00 (1,391 strikeouts vs 396 walks). They sit at 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,249.

Seattle has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 63 save opportunities and they have converted 43 saves. They are ranked 6th in the league with a save percentage of 68.3%, and they have dispatched 522 relief pitchers to the hill this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 177 times in high leverage situations in addition to 143 occasions with runners on. Seattle relievers have an inherited score rate of 26.2% out of 183 inherited runners. Sitting with 161 save situations, the Mariners have tallied 95 holds in addition to 20 blown saves.

The Seattle Mariners have gotten 121 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in MLB). The Mariners have accrued 1,322 assists, 72 errors and have earned a total of 4,159 putouts over the course of the season. In their 12,477 innings played, the Mariners hold a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (6th in professional baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Kirby has allowed 306 base knocks while tallying 294 K's in 308 frames. He has allowed a total of 120 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.121 and a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 7.35 and he has faced 1,256 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Kirby (19-15 record in his career) holds a 3.50 ERA while surrendering 8.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-146)

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