Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 9/25/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Monday, September 25, 2023

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

The Houston Astros (85-70) are hitting the road to T-Mobile Park on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the Seattle Mariners (84-70). The expected starting pitchers will be Justin Verlander and Luis Castillo.

The Astros have accounted for 267 doubles as a squad and have knocked 214 baseballs out of the park. Houston has a slugging percentage of .437 and have been called out on strikes 1,185 times, while drawing a walk on 534 occasions. As a team, the Houston Astros are earning 5.1 runs per contest, which has them at 5th in the league. They have accumulated 770 runs batted in and 1,377 hits on the campaign, and their batting average comes in at .259. They have racked up 796 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .332.

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The Astros hold a team ERA of 4.00 on the season (9th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,397 batters. Astros pitchers have allowed 195 home runs and also 680 runs in total (12th in the league). They have walked 505 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.33 as a squad this year. Houston has conceded 1,272 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 615 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.77 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.28.

Astros bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 92 times and also have had 143 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have recorded 80 holds this season (17th in baseball). The Astros relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 67.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 140 save situations. They have compiled 40 saves so far this year and have blown 19 out of their 59 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 150 runners on the year with 31.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Astros have dispatched 490 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Astros have turned 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,450 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 12th in the majors. The Houston Astros have earned 4,150 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,284 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which has them ranked 12th in baseball, and have 137 double plays.

Verlander has taken the ball for 3,312 innings and has earned 3,329 K's thus far in his career. Verlander (255-141 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.39 while he has gone up against 13,502 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.25 (1,196 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.120. He has surrendered 2,788 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 921 free passes.

The Seattle Mariners hold an on-base percentage of .322 in addition to a team batting average of .243 this year. They have struck out on 1,521 occasions (2nd in the league) and have notched a total of 1,275 hits. Seattle has a total of 201 long balls on the campaign to go along with 699 RBIs. The Mariners hold a slugging % of .415 and they tally 4.72 runs per outing (11th in baseball). They have tallied 275 two-baggers, while getting a free base 521 times as well as notching 727 runs.

The Mariners are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.186 and have a FIP of 3.84 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (1,382 strikeouts vs 393 walks). They sit at 7th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,241. They have surrendered 171 home runs and they surrender 4.09 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Seattle pitching staff have conceded 627 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.72 (570 earned runs conceded).

Seattle relievers have an inherited score rate of 26.2% out of their 183 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 177 times in high leverage situations and also on 143 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 161 save situations, the Mariners have earned 95 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. They rank 6th in the league with a save percentage of 68.3%, and they have dispatched 518 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year. Seattle has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 63 save opportunities and they have walked away with 43 saves.

In their 12,405 innings played, the Mariners have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (7th in the majors). The Seattle Mariners have turned 121 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in the majors). The Mariners have racked up 1,316 assists, 72 errors and have a total of 4,135 putouts during this campaign.

In his career, Castillo has surrendered 869 base knocks while he has tallied 1,144 strikeouts in 1,046 frames. He has allowed 406 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.169 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.23 and he has faced 4,316 batters in his pro baseball career. Castillo (62-62 career mark) has a 3.49 earned run average while giving up 7.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston

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