Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 5/5/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Friday, May 5, 2023

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

The Houston Astros (16-15) are hitting the road to T-Mobile Park on Friday where they will attempt to beat the Seattle Mariners (14-16). The pitchers taking the mound will be Cristian Javier and Luis Castillo.

Houston is slugging .367 and have struck out 250 times, while taking a walk on 98 occasions. They have 132 runs batted in and 251 base knocks this season, while their team batting average is sitting at .240. The Astros have tallied 46 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 28 balls out of the park. They have a total of 137 runs scored and have an OBP of .313. As a squad, the Houston Astros are scoring 4.4 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 15th in the league.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.20 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.20. Astros pitchers have allowed 31 home runs in addition to 115 runs in total (5th in baseball). Houston has surrendered 240 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 99 earned runs. The Astros have a team ERA of 3.20 for the season (2nd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 298 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 93 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.82 as a team so far this season.

Astros relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 16 times as well as having 24 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 8 holds so far this season (27th in baseball). The Astros bullpen have recorded a save rate of 70.0% and stepped onto the hill in 19 save situations. They have accumulated 7 saves this year and have blown 3 out of their 10 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 27 base runners on the campaign with 25.9% of those players ended up scoring. The Astros have dispatched 99 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Houston Astros have 836 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 273 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .991 which has them ranked 4th in MLB, and they have turned 24 double plays. The Astros have turned 70.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,508 innings on the field, which has them ranked 11th in the majors.

Javier (22-13 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.90 and he has gone up against 1,362 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 223 hits (5.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 130 free passes. His ERA is 3.09 (116 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.044. Javier has taken the hill for 338 innings and has accounted for 413 strikeouts thus far in his career.

Seattle is sitting with 34 home runs on the year to go along with 127 RBIs. They have put up 53 two-baggers, while walking 100 times and scoring 129 runs. The Seattle Mariners have compiled a team on-base percentage of .297 and a team batting average of .218 on the year. The Mariners have a team slugging percentage of .376 and they average 4.30 runs per outing (17th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 298 occasions (5th in the league) and have accounted for 219 hits.

The Mariners hold a team WHIP of 1.197 in addition to having a FIP of 3.42 as a unit on the year. They come in at 8th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 236. The Seattle pitching staff have given up 122 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.46 (105 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.10 (276 strikeouts against 91 walks). They have allowed 21 homers and they allow 4.02 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball).

Seattle relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 25.0% out of their 32 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 43 times in high leverage situations and on 30 occasions with runners on base. With 39 save situations, the Mariners have earned 22 holds and 6 blown saves. They are currently ranked 17th in baseball holding a save rate of 62.5%, and they have dispatched 113 relief pitchers onto the field this season. Seattle has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 16 save chances and they have come away with 10 saves.

The Seattle Mariners have gotten 21 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (6th in professional baseball). The Mariners have accrued 267 assists, 11 errors and have accounted for 821 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 2,463 innings on the diamond, the Mariners have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (12th in MLB).

So far in his career, Castillo has allowed 746 hits while totaling 975 punch outs in 892 innings. He has given up a total of 349 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.186 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.13 and he has faced 3,693 hitters so far in his MLB career. Castillo (50-55 career mark) holds a 3.52 earned run average and has surrendered 7.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle

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