Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 10/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Wednesday, October 11, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+125) Minnesota (-150)

The Houston Astros (90-72) are hitting the road to Target Field on Wednesday where they will try to beat the Minnesota Twins (87-75). The odds on this game have Houston at +125 while Minnesota is opening at -150. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be J.P. France and Kenta Maeda.

Houston has a slugging percentage of .437 and have been rung up 1,241 times, while being walked on 550 occasions. They have accrued 799 RBI's in addition to 1,441 hits on the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .259. The Astros have tallied 280 two-baggers as a team and have hit 222 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 827 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .331. As a unit, the Houston Astros are knocking in 5.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 5th in MLB.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.28. Astros pitchers have surrendered 201 home runs and 698 total runs (9th in MLB). Houston has given up 1,312 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 632 earned runs. The Astros have compiled a team earned run average of 3.94 on the campaign (8th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,460 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 537 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.31 as a team on the year.

The Astros bullpen have a save percentage of 68.9% and has come into the game in 148 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 161 runners for the season and 31.1% of those players crossed the plate. Astros pitchers have come into the game with players on base 97 times in addition to having 151 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 513 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relievers have a total of 86 holds on the year (15th in MLB). They have earned 42 saves on the year and have blown 19 out of their 61 chances to save the game.

The Houston Astros have 4,336 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,346 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which has them ranked 14th in pro baseball, and they have turned 144 double plays. The Astros have transformed 69.7% of balls in play into outs out of 13,008 innings, which has them sitting at 10th in professional baseball.

France (11-6 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.66 and he has gone up against 581 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 138 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 47 free passes. His ERA is 3.83 (58 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.357. France has taken the hill for 136 frames and has racked up 101 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

The Minnesota Twins have accumulated an on-base percentage of .326 and a batting average of .243 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 1,654 instances (1st in the league) and have a total of 1,335 hits. Minnesota has a total of 233 home runs on the year to go along with 745 runs batted in. The Twins hold a team slugging % of .427 and they are recording 4.80 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have tallied 264 doubles, while walking 594 times as well as scoring 778 runs.

The Minnesota pitching staff have yielded 659 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 3.87 (624 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 194 dingers and they allow 4.09 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.197 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.89 as a pitching staff so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.70 (1,560 strikeouts against 443 walks). They sit at 6th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,294.

Minnesota relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.1% of 160 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 186 times in high leverage situations and also on 118 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 147 save situations, the Twins have 79 holds and 28 blown saves. They are currently ranked 23rd in MLB with a save percentage of 57.6%, and they have dispatched 490 relievers onto the field for the season. Minnesota has called on relievers to enter the game in 66 save opportunities and they have come away with 38 saves.

In their 13,062 innings played, the Twins have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (9th in baseball). The Minnesota Twins have turned 116 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (4th in professional baseball). The Twins have accrued 1,286 assists, 66 errors and have earned a total of 4,354 putouts on the campaign.

During his pro baseball career, Maeda has allowed 740 hits while earning 951 punch outs in 866 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 377 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.140 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.83 and he has faced 3,558 hitters so far in his MLB career. Maeda (65-49 career mark) is the owner of a 3.92 earned run average and has conceded 7.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (+125)

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