Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 10/10/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Tuesday, October 10, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+125) Minnesota (-150)

Target Field is where the Minnesota Twins (87-75) will take on the Houston Astros (90-72) on Tuesday in Game 3 of their series. The series is tied 1-1. The moneyline on this game has the Astros at +125 while the Twins are priced at -150. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Cristian Javier and Sonny Gray.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are notching 5.1 runs per contest, which has them at 5th in the league. They are sitting with 827 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .331. The Astros have earned 280 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 222 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 799 RBI's and 1,441 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average is sitting at .259. Houston has a slugging % of .437 and have struck out 1,241 times, while drawing a walk on 550 occasions.

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The Astros have an earned run average of 3.94 so far this year (8th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,460 batters. Astros pitchers have surrendered 201 home runs and 698 runs in total (9th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 537 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.31 as a squad for the season. Houston has surrendered 1,312 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 632 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.72 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28.

The Astros have dispatched 513 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 161 runners for the year and 31.1% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 42 saves so far this season and have not converted 19 of their 61 save opportunities. The Astros relievers have compiled a save rate of 68.9% and has entered the game in 148 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 86 holds over the course of the season (15th in the league). Astros pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 97 times as well as having 151 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have transformed 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 13,008 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 10th in pro baseball. The Houston Astros have a total of 4,336 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,346 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which has them sitting 14th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 144 double plays.

Javier (30-17 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.14 while he has faced 1,910 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 335 base knocks (6.5 hits per nine innings) and has 185 walks. His earned run average is 3.57 (185 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.115. Javier has taken the mound for 466 innings and has racked up 537 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Twins have a team slugging % of .427 and they score 4.80 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have 264 doubles, while taking a walk 594 times as well as scoring 778 runs. Minnesota has accounted for 233 home runs for the year to go along with 745 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,654 occasions (1st in the league) and have earned a total of 1,335 base hits. The Minnesota Twins have tallied an OBP of .326 as well as a batting average of .243 on the season.

The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.197 and have a FIP of 3.89 as a squad on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.70 (1,560 strikeouts against 443 walks). They are sitting at 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,294. They have given up 194 homers and they surrender 4.09 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Minnesota pitching staff have given up 659 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.87 (624 earned runs allowed).

Sitting with 147 save situations, the Twins have compiled 79 holds in addition to 28 blown saves. Minnesota has had relief pitchers take the mound in 66 save chances and they have walked away with 38 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 186 times in high leverage situations and on 118 occasions with runners on. Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.1% out of their 160 inherited runners. They are ranked 23rd in the league holding a save percentage of 57.6%, and they have dispatched 490 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 116 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (4th in MLB). The Twins have accrued 1,286 assists, 66 errors and have a total of 4,354 putouts during this campaign. In 13,062 innings on the diamond, the Twins hold a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (9th in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Gray has conceded 1,348 hits while accumulating 1,521 strikeouts in 1,571 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 606 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.204 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.80 and he has gone up against 6,528 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Gray (98-85 career mark) has earned a 3.47 earned run average while allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (+125)

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