Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 5/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, May 22, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+105) Milwaukee (-125)

The Milwaukee Brewers (25-21) will try to defeat the Houston Astros (27-19) at American Family Field on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has Houston at +105 and Milwaukee is at -125. The total is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Cristian Javier and Corbin Burnes.

Houston has a slugging rate of .380 and have been rung up 364 times, while being walked on 136 occasions. They have accrued 191 runs batted in as well as 370 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average comes in at .246. The Astros have tallied 77 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 40 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 199 runs and have an on-base percentage of .314. As a team, the Houston Astros are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 17th in the league.

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The Astros are sitting with a team ERA of 3.26 over the course of the season (1st in baseball), and their staff has rung up 438 hitters. Astros pitchers have conceded 46 home runs and 163 runs in total (2nd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 128 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.70 as a squad this year. Houston has allowed 358 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 145 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.42 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21.

Astros relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 22 times and also have had 41 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 21 holds for the season (21st in baseball). The Astros relief pitchers have a save rate of 72.2% and has come into the game in 40 save situations. They have earned 13 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 5 of 18 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 38 base runners this year and 23.7% of them crossed home plate. The Astros have sent 145 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Houston Astros have notched a total of 1,202 putouts for the season, as well as 370 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which has them sitting 6th in pro baseball, and have earned 39 double plays. The Astros have converted 68.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 3,606 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 18th in the majors.

Javier has taken the hill for 357 innings and has totaled 437 K's thus far in his career. His ERA is 3.08 (122 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.025. He has surrendered 231 hits (5.8 hits per 9 innings) with 135 walks. Javier (24-13 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.85 while he has gone up against 1,430 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for an on-base percentage of .313 and a batting average of .238 on the year. They have been rung up on 417 occasions (6th in the league) and have earned a total of 351 base hits. Milwaukee has hit 53 home runs on the season as well as 179 RBIs. The Brewers have a team slugging percentage of .386 and they average 4.16 runs per game (23rd in baseball). They have recorded 55 two-baggers, while getting a free base 154 times as well as recording 187 runs.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.286 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.75 as a unit for the season. They are sitting at 8th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 361. The Milwaukee pitching staff have surrendered 191 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 4.06 (178 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.00 (351 strikeouts against 147 walks). They have given up 60 homers and they yield 4.35 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score rate of 27.9% of 61 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 39 times in high leverage situations in addition to 39 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 37 save situations, the Brewers have compiled 21 holds and also 5 blown saves. They rank 12th in the league holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 137 bullpen pitchers onto the field over the course of the season. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 15 save chances and they have converted 10 saves.

In their 3,555 innings played, the Brewers hold a efficiency on defense of 71.5% (4th in pro baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 33 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in pro baseball). The Brewers have accrued 396 assists, 19 errors and have earned 1,185 putouts over the course of the season.

In his MLB career, Burnes has given up 442 hits while he has totaled 716 punch outs in 567 innings pitched. Burnes (39-22 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.24 ERA while giving up 7.0 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 204 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.059 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.50 and he has faced 2,294 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-125)

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