Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 6/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Sunday, June 11, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+115) Cleveland (-135)

The Houston Astros (36-28) are traveling to Progressive Field on Sunday where they will take on the Cleveland Guardians (30-33). The moneyline on this game has Houston at +115 and Cleveland is sitting at -135. The over/under is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Brandon Bielak and Shane Bieber.

The Astros have accounted for 108 doubles as a squad and have knocked 71 baseballs out of the park. Houston has a slugging percentage of .400 and have been called out on strikes 519 times, while drawing a walk on 195 occasions. As a team, the Houston Astros are compiling 4.6 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 14th in the league. They have earned 279 runs batted in in addition to 533 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average comes in at .247. They have notched a total of 292 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .316.

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The Astros are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.29 on the season (1st in the league), and their staff has rung up 606 hitters. Astros pitchers have surrendered 67 long balls and 234 runs (1st in baseball). They have walked 194 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.84 as a team this season. Houston has given up 510 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 209 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.12 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23.

The Astros relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 66.7% and has come into the game in 58 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 52 base runners for the year and 28.8% of those runners earned a run for their team. Astros relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 32 times in addition to having 54 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have dispatched 198 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 33 holds so far this year (15th in MLB). They have compiled 16 saves for the season and have not converted 8 of 24 save chances.

The Astros have transformed 69.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 5,148 innings, which has them sitting 16th in baseball. The Houston Astros have notched a total of 1,716 putouts on the year, in addition to 542 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .989 which has them ranked 7th in the majors, and they have twisted 57 double plays.

Bielak has taken the mound for 132 frames and is sitting with 114 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Bielak (9-9 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.20 while he has faced 582 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.64 (68 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.485. He has surrendered 141 base knocks (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 55 walks.

Cleveland has 40 home runs so far this year and 224 RBIs. They have hit 117 doubles, while walking 195 times as well as scoring 241 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have accounted for a team OBP of .306 as well as a batting average of .239 on the year. The Guardians have a slugging percentage of .361 and they score 3.83 runs per contest (27th in MLB). They have been rung up on 445 occasions (29th in MLB) and are sitting with 507 base hits.

The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 262 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.76 (237 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 61 homers and they allow 4.15 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.261 in addition to having a FIP of 4.01 as a squad for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.70 (487 strikeouts vs 181 free passes). They come in at 21st in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 535.

Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 37 save chances and they have tallied 23 saves. They sit at 16th in baseball holding a save percentage of 62.2%, and they have dispatched 206 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Their relievers have come in 88 times in high leverage situations and also on 55 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relievers have an inherited score percentage of 22.9% of 70 inherited base runners. With 76 save situations, the Guardians have 39 holds in addition to 14 blown saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 44 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (14th in baseball). The Guardians have racked up 599 assists, 31 errors and have 1,704 putouts so far this season. Out of their 5,112 innings on the field, the Guardians have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (10th in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Bieber has given up 699 base hits and he has 886 punch outs in 783 frames. He has given up a total of 280 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.115 and having a FIP of 3.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.06 and he has faced 3,175 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Bieber (58-29 mark in his career) holds a 3.22 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-135)

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