Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, August 30, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-135) Boston (+114)

The Boston Red Sox (69-63) will try to beat the Houston Astros (75-58) at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has Houston at -135 and Boston is sitting at +114. The total is 10.5. The men taking the mound will be Framber Valdez and Kutter Crawford.

The Astros have accumulated 226 doubles as a team and have smacked 175 baseballs out of the park. Houston has a slugging % of .427 and have struck out 1,041 times, while being walked on 456 occasions. As a unit, the Houston Astros are scoring 5.0 runs per contest, which has them at 6th in baseball. They have tallied 648 runs batted in as well as 1,174 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average comes in at .257. They have tallied 670 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .330.

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The Astros have compiled a team ERA of 3.95 for the year (9th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,202 hitters. Astros pitchers have conceded 162 home runs and also 574 total runs (14th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 439 opposing players and their FIP is 4.30 as a team this season. Houston has relinquished 1,098 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 521 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29.

The Astros have sent 421 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 130 base runners on the year with 32.3% of them crossed the plate. They have tallied 38 saves on the year and have blown 17 of 55 chances to save the game. The Astros relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 69.1% and has come into the game in 127 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 71 holds so far this year (13th in the league). Astros pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 80 times in addition to having 133 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,686 innings, which has them ranked 16th in professional baseball. The Houston Astros have earned a total of 3,562 putouts on the year, as well as 1,123 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them sitting 14th in baseball, and have 123 double plays.

Valdez has pitched in 676 innings and is sitting with 656 strikeouts so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.38 (254 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.217. He has surrendered 571 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) with 252 free passes. Valdez (50-32 career record) has a FIP of 3.63 while he has gone up against 2,825 batters in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox have accounted for a team OBP of .332 in addition to a batting average of .265 this year. They have struck out on 1,071 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,204 hits. Boston has a total of 158 home runs for the season as well as 632 RBIs. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .440 and they are earning 4.99 runs per contest (7th in MLB). They have hit 288 doubles, while taking a walk 406 times as well as racking up 659 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.340 and have a FIP of 4.42 as a unit for the season. They are currently ranked 24th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,171. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 625 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.45 (577 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,149 strikeouts vs 391 walks). They have surrendered 174 HR's and they concede 4.82 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).

Boston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.4% of 141 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 119 times in high leverage situations and also on 92 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 112 save situations, the Red Sox have 60 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They are currently ranked 2nd in the league with a save percentage of 76.5%, and they have dispatched 412 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Boston has had relief pitchers take the mound in 51 save opportunities and they have earned 39 saves.

Out of their 10,494 innings on the field, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (28th in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 115 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (30th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 1,174 assists, 91 errors and have earned 3,498 putouts on the season.

In his pro baseball career, Crawford has surrendered 171 base hits while accumulating 180 strikeouts in 180 innings pitched. Crawford (9-13 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.64 ERA while allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 93 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.259 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.21 and he has faced 757 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+114)

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