Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, August 29, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+102) Boston (-122)

The Houston Astros (74-58) are headed to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they will take on the Boston Red Sox (69-62). The line on this matchup has Houston at +102 and Boston is opening at -122. The total has been set at 10.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be J.P. France and Brayan Bello.

As a team, the Houston Astros are notching 5.0 runs per outing, which is 7th in MLB. They have a total of 657 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .328. The Astros have accounted for 224 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 172 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 636 RBI's as well as 1,156 hits so far this season, and their team batting average comes in at .256. Houston is slugging .425 and have struck out 1,034 times, while taking a walk on 449 occasions.

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The Astros have a team ERA of 3.94 on the campaign (9th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,196 hitters. Astros pitchers have conceded 161 home runs in addition to 569 runs in total (13th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 430 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.28 as a team for the season. Houston has yielded 1,088 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 516 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.78 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.29.

Astros relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 79 times in addition to having 133 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 71 holds for the season (12th in MLB). The Astros relievers have accumulated a save rate of 68.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 126 save situations. They have recorded 37 saves on the season and have blown 17 out of their 54 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 129 base runners this season with 32.6% of those players earned a run for their team. The Astros have dispatched 419 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Houston Astros have a total of 3,535 putouts this year, as well as 1,115 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them sitting 13th in professional baseball, and they have turned 122 double plays. The Astros have transformed 69.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,605 innings, which has them sitting at 16th in professional baseball.

France has taken the mound for 110 frames and has totaled 83 K's in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.51 (43 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.305. He has given up 111 base knocks (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 33 free passes. France (9-5 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.37 while he has faced 466 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Red Sox hold a team SLG% of .440 and they are recording 4.99 runs per game (6th in baseball). They have tallied 286 doubles, while getting a free base 397 times and putting up 654 runs. Boston has tallied 157 home runs on the season as well as 627 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,065 occasions (22nd in baseball) and have 1,194 hits. The Boston Red Sox have recorded an on-base percentage of .331 as well as a batting average of .265 on the year.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.328 with a FIP of 4.38 as a unit so far this season. They come in at 24th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,153. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 612 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 4.39 (564 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.90 (1,142 strikeouts against 384 walks). They have allowed 171 dingers and they surrender 4.76 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).

Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.8% out of 139 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 118 times in high leverage situations in addition to 91 occasions with base runners. With 112 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 60 holds and also 12 blown saves. They sit at 1st in the league holding a save rate of 76.5%, and they have dispatched 411 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this year. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 51 save chances and they have walked away with 39 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 114 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (30th in baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 1,165 assists, 90 errors and have earned a total of 3,471 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 10,413 innings played, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (28th in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Bello has conceded 203 hits while accumulating 159 punch outs in 183 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 80 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.437 and having a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.61 and he has faced 802 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Bello (12-15 career mark) holds a 3.92 earned run average and has given up 9.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (+102)

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