Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/23/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, April 23, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+120) Atlanta (-140)

Truist Park is where the Atlanta Braves (14-6) will play the Houston Astros (10-10) on Sunday. The odds on this game have Houston at +120 while Atlanta is coming in at -140. The total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Cristian Javier and Max Fried.

Houston is slugging .387 and have been rung up 167 times, while being walked on 74 occasions. They have tallied 98 runs batted in in addition to 173 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate sits at .253. The Astros have accumulated 32 doubles as a team and have hit 20 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 102 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .332. As a team, the Houston Astros are earning 5.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 6th in MLB.

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The Astros have compiled a team ERA of 3.34 on the campaign (6th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 191 hitters. Astros pitchers have given up 20 home runs and also 81 runs in total (8th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 61 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.84 as a team this season. Houston has relinquished 164 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 67 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.13 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25.

Astros pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 11 times in addition to having 17 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 3 holds over the course of the season (27th in the league). The Astros relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 50.0% and stepped onto the hill in 10 save situations. They have accumulated 3 saves over the course of the season and have blown 3 out of their 6 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 20 runners over the course of the season with 30.0% of those players ended up scoring. The Astros have dispatched 65 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

The Astros have turned 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,626 innings on the diamond, ranking them 16th in professional baseball. The Houston Astros have a total of 542 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 176 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which puts them in 8th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 12 double plays.

Javier has pitched in 326 frames and has accumulated 397 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.09 (112 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.042. He has given up 213 hits (5.9 hits per nine innings) and has 127 free passes. Javier (22-12 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.91 and he has faced 1,314 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

Atlanta has accumulated 27 HRs for the season as well as 96 runs batted in. They have put up 39 two-baggers, while taking a walk 81 times as well as earning 101 runs. The Atlanta Braves hold a team OBP of .343 in addition to a team batting average of .261 this season. The Braves hold a team slugging % of .438 and they tally 5.05 runs per contest (8th in baseball). They have struck out on 189 instances (9th in MLB) and have 179 base hits.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.274 and have a FIP of 3.56 as a staff for the year. They are sitting at 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 160. The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 71 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.37 (67 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.10 (180 strikeouts against 68 walks). They have allowed 13 homers and they give up 3.57 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball).

Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.0% out of 20 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 23 times in high leverage situations and also on 17 occasions with base runners. With 28 save situations, the Braves have earned 18 holds and also 4 blown saves. They sit at 15th in baseball with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 71 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 10 save chances and they have come away with 6 saves.

In 1,611 innings on the field, the Braves have a efficiency on defense of 68.0% (22nd in MLB). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 20 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in MLB). The Braves have recorded 170 assists, 11 errors and have earned a total of 537 putouts for the season.

During his career, Fried has conceded 575 hits while he has tallied 623 strikeouts in 640 frames. Fried (55-25 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.06 ERA and has given up 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 218 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.164 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 3.64 and he has gone up against 2,621 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-140)

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