Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, April 22, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-110) Atlanta (-110)

The Houston Astros (9-10) are en route to Truist Park on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Atlanta Braves (14-5). The odds on this game have the Astros at -110 while the Braves are opening at -110. The over/under comes in at 8. The starting pitchers will be Framber Valdez and Kyle Wright.

Houston has a slugging percentage of .382 and have been rung up 159 times, while drawing a walk on 71 occasions. They have 93 runs batted in in addition to 162 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .250. The Astros have compiled 29 doubles as a unit and have smacked 19 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 96 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .330. As a team, the Houston Astros are notching 5.1 runs/g, which puts them at 9th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.14 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25. Astros pitchers have relinquished 20 home runs and also 77 total runs (8th in baseball). Houston has allowed 157 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 63 earned runs. The Astros have compiled a team ERA of 3.30 on the season (6th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 179 hitters. They have walked 57 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.92 as a squad this season.

The Astros have sent 61 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 18 runners for the year with 33.3% of those players crossed the plate. They have 2 saves over the course of the season and have blown 3 out of their 5 save chances. The Astros relievers have a save rate of 40.0% and has entered the game in 9 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 3 holds this year (27th in the league). Astros pitchers have entered the game with players on base 10 times and also have had 14 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have turned 69.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 1,545 innings on the field, which has them ranked 15th in MLB. The Houston Astros have amassed 515 putouts thus far, as well as 168 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .990 which is 8th in MLB, and have a total of 11 double plays.

Valdez has taken the hill for 539 innings and has accounted for 522 K's in his career. Valdez (42-25 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.63 while he has gone up against 2,272 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.30 (198 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.248. He has allowed 456 base knocks (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 217 free passes.

The Braves hold a team SLG% of .443 and they are earning 5.11 runs per contest (8th in MLB). They have 35 doubles, while getting a free base 77 times and racking up 97 runs. Atlanta has accumulated 27 HRs so far this season as well as 92 RBIs. They have been rung up on 177 occasions (9th in MLB) and have 172 hits. The Atlanta Braves hold an on-base percentage of .345 and a batting average of .263 this year.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.259 in addition to having a FIP of 3.52 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (172 strikeouts vs 65 bases on balls). They come in at 9th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 149. They have given up 12 homers and they yield 3.44 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 65 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.28 (62 earned runs yielded).

Atlanta has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 9 save opportunities and they have recorded 6 saves. They sit at 11th in baseball with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 67 relievers to the mound for the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 20 times in high leverage situations and also on 16 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.6% out of 19 inherited runners. With 27 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 18 holds and also 3 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 18 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (16th in MLB). The Braves have 160 assists, 9 errors and have 510 putouts for the season. Out of their 1,530 innings on the diamond, the Braves hold a efficiency on defense of 68.6% (19th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Wright has surrendered 234 hits and he has 242 K's in 259 innings. Wright (23-13 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.20 earned run average and has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 121 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.320 and having a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.24 and he has gone up against 1,105 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-110)

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