Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 9/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Friday, September 29, 2023

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Chase Field is the location where the Arizona Diamondbacks (84-74) will attempt to defeat the Houston Astros (87-72) on Friday. The expected starting pitchers are J.P. France and Zac Gallen.

As a unit, the Houston Astros are notching 5.1 runs per contest, which is 5th in baseball. They have earned a total of 808 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .332. The Astros have earned 272 doubles as a unit and have knocked 217 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 782 RBI's as well as 1,404 base knocks this season, while their batting average sits at .259. Houston is slugging .436 and have struck out 1,208 times, while drawing a walk on 540 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.77 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28. Astros pitchers have given up 200 home runs and 693 total runs (13th in MLB). Houston has conceded 1,289 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 627 earned runs. The Astros have an ERA of 4.00 this year (10th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,426 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 515 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.33 as a squad for the year.

The Astros have sent 499 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have inherited 156 base runners over the course of the season with 32.1% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 40 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 19 of their 59 chances to get a save. The Astros relievers have recorded a save percentage of 67.8% and stepped onto the hill in 140 save situations. The relievers have 80 holds on the season (18th in MLB). Astros pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 95 times and also have had 143 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Houston Astros have earned 4,228 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,305 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them sitting 14th in pro baseball, and have a total of 140 double plays. The Astros have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,684 innings on the field, ranking them 11th in MLB.

France has pitched in 136 frames and has racked up 101 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 3.83 (58 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.357. He has given up 138 base knocks (9.1 hits per nine innings) with 47 walks. France (11-6 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.67 while facing 581 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Diamondbacks hold a team slugging % of .414 and they are recording 4.71 runs per contest (13th in baseball). They have 269 two-baggers, while taking a walk 519 times and scoring 740 runs. Arizona has tallied 166 long balls this season as well as 700 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,216 instances (27th in the league) and have recorded 1,337 base knocks. The Arizona Diamondbacks are sitting with an OBP of .324 in addition to a batting average of .253 on the year.

The Diamondbacks have a WHIP of 1.336 and have a FIP of 4.41 as a unit for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.40 (1,302 strikeouts against 518 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 21st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,341. They have relinquished 193 home runs and they relinquish 4.83 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Arizona pitching staff have conceded 747 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.54 (702 earned runs surrendered).

Arizona relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.6% out of their 229 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 153 times in high leverage situations and also on 161 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 145 save situations, the Diamondbacks have compiled 73 holds and 27 blown saves. They are ranked 16th in the league holding a save percentage of 61.4%, and they have sent 528 relievers to the mound on the year. Arizona has called on relievers to take the mound in 70 save chances and they have walked away with 43 saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 131 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in MLB). The Diamondbacks have recorded 1,362 assists, 55 errors and have amassed 4,174 putouts so far this year. In their 12,522 innings played, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (16th in professional baseball).

Gallen (39-30 career record) has a 3.21 ERA and has given up 7.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.56 and he has gone up against 2,682 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has given up 236 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.104 and a FIP of 3.5. During his pro baseball career, Gallen has given up 527 base knocks while earning 722 K's in 661 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston

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