Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 10/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-135) Arizona (+114)

The Houston Astros (88-72) are hitting the road to Chase Field on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Arizona Diamondbacks (84-76). The moneyline on this game has Houston at -135 while Arizona is at +114. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Hunter Brown and Ryne Nelson.

As a team, the Houston Astros are scoring 5.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 5th in the league. They have notched a total of 818 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .332. The Astros have tallied 277 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 220 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 792 RBI's and 1,426 hits this season, and their average at the plate is .259. Houston has a slugging percentage of .437 and have been called out on strikes 1,224 times, while drawing a walk on 545 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.28. Astros pitchers have given up 201 home runs in addition to 697 total runs (11th in baseball). Houston has yielded 1,301 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 630 earned runs. The Astros are sitting with a team ERA of 3.97 on the year (9th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,446 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 528 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.32 as a unit on the season.

The Astros relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 68.3% and has entered the game in 144 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 158 runners for the year with 31.6% of those players ended up scoring. Astros pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 96 times and also have had 147 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have dispatched 506 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen have recorded 83 holds for the season (15th in baseball). They have earned 41 saves so far this season and have blown 19 of 60 chances to save the game.

The Astros have converted 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,846 innings, which ranks them 12th in MLB. The Houston Astros have a tally of 4,282 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,324 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which has them ranked 15th in MLB, and they have turned 142 double plays.

Brown has taken the mound for 175 innings and has earned 200 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Brown (13-13 career record) has a FIP of 4.08 while facing 741 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.63 (90 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.331. He has conceded 172 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 61 free passes.

The Diamondbacks have a SLG% of .410 and they average 4.66 runs per game (13th in baseball). They have hit 272 two-baggers, while getting a free base 531 times and putting up 745 runs. Arizona has a total of 166 HRs on the year to go along with 705 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,233 instances (27th in MLB) and have recorded 1,348 hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accumulated a team OBP of .322 in addition to a team batting average of .251 over the course of the season.

The Arizona pitching staff have relinquished 752 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.49 (707 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 195 home runs and they relinquish 4.78 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.327 and have a FIP of 4.36 as a staff for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (1,334 strikeouts against 520 free passes). They are sitting at 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,360.

Arizona has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 71 save chances and they have earned 44 saves. They are ranked 15th in baseball with a save rate of 62.0%, and they have sent 539 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 154 times in high leverage situations in addition to 164 occasions with runners on base. Arizona relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.0% out of 233 inherited runners. Sitting with 149 save situations, the Diamondbacks have tallied 76 holds and 27 blown saves.

In 12,756 innings on the diamond, the Diamondbacks have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (15th in MLB). The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 132 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in the majors). The Diamondbacks have recorded 1,385 assists, 55 errors and have a tally of 4,252 putouts so far this season.

During his MLB career, Nelson has conceded 168 hits while he has accumulated 111 K's in 161 innings. Nelson (9-9 career mark) is the owner of a 4.91 earned run average and has given up 9.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 88 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.364 and a FIP of 4.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.13 and he has gone up against 685 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (-135)

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