Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, July 30, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+150) Miami (-175)

The Miami Marlins (56-48) are hosting the Detroit Tigers (46-58) at loanDepot park on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Tigers at +150 and the Marlins open at -175. The over/under comes in at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start are Joey Wentz and Johnny Cueto.

The Tigers have accrued 152 doubles as a unit and have knocked 96 baseballs out of the stadium. Detroit is slugging .366 and have been rung up 924 times, while drawing a walk on 326 occasions. As a squad, the Detroit Tigers are recording 3.9 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 28th in the league. They have accumulated 393 RBI's as well as 814 base knocks this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .231. They have a total of 406 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .299.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.95 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.25. Tigers pitchers have surrendered 125 long balls and also 504 runs in total (22nd in MLB). Detroit has conceded 867 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 465 earned runs. The Tigers have compiled a team ERA of 4.51 on the campaign (22nd in baseball), and they have rung up 865 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 293 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.22 as a squad for the year.

The Tigers bullpen have a save percentage of 60.5% and has entered the game in 100 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 148 base runners on the year with 33.1% of them earned a run for their team. Tigers relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 106 times in addition to having 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 336 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers have tallied 60 holds for the season (9th in MLB). They have accumulated 23 saves this season and have missed out on 15 out of their 38 chances to get a save.

The Detroit Tigers are sitting with 2,786 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 903 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .983 which ranks 28th in professional baseball, and they have turned 84 double plays. The Tigers have turned 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,358 innings on the field, which has them ranked 10th in the majors.

Wentz has taken the hill for 104 innings and has 93 strikeouts during his MLB career. Wentz (3-11 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.98 and he has gone up against 465 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 5.61 (65 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.466. He has conceded 109 hits (9.4 hits per 9 innings) with 44 free passes.

Miami has knocked in 93 home runs on the campaign to go along with 407 RBIs. They have hit 167 two-baggers, while taking a walk 275 times and scoring 428 runs. The Miami Marlins have accumulated a team OBP of .321 as well as a batting average of .264 this season. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .399 and they average 4.12 runs per outing (26th in MLB). They have struck out on 831 occasions (24th in MLB) and have notched a total of 934 base hits.

The Miami pitching staff have conceded 446 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 4.08 (418 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 114 homers and they allow 4.35 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.263 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.92 as a squad so far this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.60 (981 strikeouts vs 311 walks). They rank 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 854.

With 117 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 68 holds and also 20 blown saves. Miami has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 49 save opportunities and they have come away with 29 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 136 times in high leverage situations in addition to 105 occasions with base runners. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.8% out of 151 inherited runners. They rank 20th in MLB with a save rate of 59.2%, and they have sent 353 relievers to the hill so far this season.

In their 8,301 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (27th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have turned 94 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in the majors). The Marlins have racked up 917 assists, 61 errors and have accounted for 2,767 putouts for the year.

Cueto (143-108 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.45 earned run average and has given up 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.93 and he has gone up against 9,144 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 844 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.206 and having a FIP of 3.9. During his pro baseball career, Cueto has allowed 2,035 hits and he has 1,821 strikeouts in 2,202 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (+150)

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