Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, July 29, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+125) Miami (-145)

loanDepot park is the location where the Miami Marlins (55-48) will meet the Detroit Tigers (46-57) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has Detroit at +125 while Miami is priced at -145. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Joey Wentz and Johnny Cueto.

The Tigers have accrued 150 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 96 balls out of the park. Detroit has a slugging % of .366 and have been called out on strikes 914 times, while drawing a walk on 323 occasions. As a squad, the Detroit Tigers are earning 3.9 runs per game, which has them at 28th in the league. They have tallied 389 runs batted in in addition to 803 base knocks on the season, while their batting average sits at .231. They have racked up 401 runs scored and have an OBP of .298.

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The Tigers are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.49 on the year (21st in the league), and the staff has struck out 861 batters. Tigers pitchers have conceded 124 home runs and 498 runs in total (22nd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 293 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.23 as a squad on the campaign. Detroit has conceded 855 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 459 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.94 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.25.

Tigers bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 106 times and also have had 107 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 60 holds so far this season (9th in MLB). The Tigers bullpen have compiled a save rate of 60.5% and has entered the game in 100 save situations. They have compiled 23 saves on the campaign and have blown 15 of their 38 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 148 runners for the season with 33.1% of those runners crossed home plate. The Tigers have sent 334 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Detroit Tigers have accumulated 2,762 putouts for the season, as well as 890 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which ranks 26th in baseball, and they have twisted 82 double plays. The Tigers have turned 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 8,286 innings, which has them ranked 9th in the majors.

Wentz has taken the mound for 104 innings and is sitting with 93 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 5.61 (65 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.466. He has surrendered 109 base hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) with 44 walks. Wentz (3-11 career record) holds a FIP of 4.98 while he has gone up against 465 hitters in the majors.

The Marlins hold a slugging % of .398 and they earn 4.10 runs per outing (27th in baseball). They have recorded 164 doubles, while walking 275 times as well as earning 422 runs. Miami has tallied 92 home runs on the campaign to go along with 401 RBIs. They have been rung up on 827 instances (24th in MLB) and have earned a total of 922 base knocks. The Miami Marlins have earned an on-base percentage of .320 as well as a batting average of .263 on the year.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.261 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.93 as a staff over the course of the season. They come in at 15th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 843. The Miami pitching staff have conceded 441 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 4.08 (414 earned runs allowed). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.60 (971 strikeouts vs 308 walks). They have yielded 114 HR's and they surrender 4.35 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball).

Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.9% out of 149 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 134 times in high leverage situations and also on 103 occasions with base runners. With 113 save situations, the Marlins have accumulated 66 holds and also 19 blown saves. They are ranked 20th in MLB with a save rate of 59.6%, and they have dispatched 349 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Miami has called on relievers to enter the game in 47 save opportunities and they have walked away with 28 saves.

Out of their 8,220 innings on the diamond, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (24th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have gotten 92 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in MLB). The Marlins have accrued 906 assists, 60 errors and have accounted for 2,740 putouts this year.

Cueto (143-108 mark in his career) holds a 3.45 earned run average while allowing 8.3 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.93 and he has faced 9,144 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 844 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.206 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. So far in his MLB career, Cueto has allowed 2,035 base knocks while he has tallied 1,821 K's in 2,202 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-145)

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