Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, July 28, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

loanDepot park is where the Miami Marlins (55-48) will attempt to defeat the Detroit Tigers (46-55) on Friday. The pitchers taking the mound will be Reese Olson and Braxton Garrett.

As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 3.9 runs per outing, which puts them at 28th in MLB. They have 397 runs scored and hold an OBP of .299. The Tigers have recorded 149 doubles as a team and have hit 96 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 386 RBI's in addition to 794 hits so far this year, while their batting average comes in at .232. Detroit has a slugging % of .369 and have struck out 900 times, while being walked on 315 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.92 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24. Tigers pitchers have given up 118 home runs in addition to 481 runs in total (20th in the league). Detroit has surrendered 831 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 442 earned runs. The Tigers have compiled a team earned run average of 4.41 this year (19th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 842 hitters. They have walked 288 batters and their FIP is 4.19 as a team for the year.

Tigers pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 106 times and also have had 107 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 60 holds on the campaign (9th in MLB). The Tigers relievers have a save percentage of 60.5% and has come into the game in 100 save situations. They have earned 23 saves on the season and have blown 15 of 38 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 148 base runners for the season and 33.1% of them crossed the plate. The Tigers have sent 330 relievers to the mound for the year.

The Detroit Tigers have a total of 2,708 putouts for the season, as well as 871 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which ranks 26th in pro baseball, and have a total of 81 double plays. The Tigers have turned 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of 8,124 innings, ranking them 8th in baseball.

Olson (1-4 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.99 while he has gone up against 179 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 38 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 10 free passes. His ERA is 4.53 (22 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.099. Olson has taken the mound for 43 innings and is sitting with 45 strikeouts in his career.

The Marlins have a team SLG% of .398 and they have an average of 4.10 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have hit 164 two-baggers, while taking a walk 275 times and scoring 422 runs. Miami has tallied 92 home runs on the year as well as 401 RBIs. They have been rung up on 827 occasions (24th in MLB) and have totaled 922 hits. The Miami Marlins hold a team on-base percentage of .320 as well as a batting average of .263 on the season.

The Miami pitching staff have given up 441 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.08 (414 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 114 HR's and they yield 4.35 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.261 and have a FIP of 3.93 as a unit this season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.60 (971 strikeouts vs 308 free passes). They have a ranking of 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 843.

Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.9% out of their 149 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 134 times in high leverage situations and on 103 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 113 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 66 holds and also 19 blown saves. They are ranked 19th in MLB holding a save percentage of 59.6%, and they have dispatched 349 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season. Miami has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 47 save chances and they have walked away with 28 saves.

The Miami Marlins have turned 92 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in the majors). The Marlins have recorded 906 assists, 60 errors and have accounted for 2,740 putouts this season. In 8,220 innings played, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (24th in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Garrett has given up 239 base hits and he has 241 strikeouts in 229 innings. He has given up 107 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.324 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.71 and he has faced 982 batters so far in his career. Garrett (10-13 career win-loss record) has a 4.19 ERA while allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit

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