Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 7/20/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Thursday, July 20, 2023

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

The Kansas City Royals (28-68) will try to beat the Detroit Tigers (42-52) at Kauffman Stadium on Thursday. The expected starting pitchers will be Michael Lorenzen and Alec Marsh.

As a team, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 3.9 runs/g, which has them at 28th in baseball. They are sitting with 370 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .299. The Tigers have accrued 142 doubles as a unit and have knocked 89 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 359 RBI's and 732 base knocks this season, and their batting average is at .230. Detroit is slugging .368 and have been rung up 845 times, while taking a walk on 303 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.95 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25. Tigers pitchers have yielded 112 home runs and 451 runs (20th in baseball). Detroit has allowed 776 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 413 earned runs. The Tigers hold a team ERA of 4.43 for the year (20th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 791 hitters. They have walked 268 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.22 as a team so far this season.

The Tigers relievers have a save rate of 57.1% and has come into the game in 91 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 141 runners for the year with 33.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. Tigers relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 102 times in addition to having 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have dispatched 307 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relievers have racked up 54 holds over the course of the season (10th in MLB). They have accumulated 20 saves on the year and have not converted 15 of their 35 save opportunities.

The Detroit Tigers have earned 2,516 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 812 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which is 27th in the majors, and they have twisted 73 double plays. The Tigers have transformed 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,548 innings, which has them sitting 10th in pro baseball.

Lorenzen has taken the mound for 664 innings and has earned 564 strikeouts thus far in his career. Lorenzen (35-35 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.26 and he has gone up against 2,822 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.05 (299 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.324. He has allowed 614 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 266 walks.

The Royals hold a team SLG% of .374 and they score 3.76 runs per game (29th in the league). They have hit 155 doubles, while taking a walk 244 times as well as scoring 361 runs. Kansas City is sitting with 82 long balls on the year to go along with 346 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 861 instances (10th in baseball) and have accounted for 746 base hits. The Kansas City Royals have tallied an OBP of .295 and a batting average of .233 for the year.

The Kansas City pitching staff have surrendered 519 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.27 (489 earned runs given up). They have conceded 113 dingers and they concede 5.59 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Royals have a WHIP of 1.441 with a FIP of 4.60 as a pitching staff on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.20 (762 strikeouts against 348 bases on balls). They come in at 25th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 855.

Sitting with 59 save situations, the Royals have 32 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. Kansas City has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 27 save chances and they have earned 13 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 74 times in high leverage situations and also on 62 occasions with runners on. Kansas City relievers have an inherited score percentage of 41.3% of 104 inherited base runners. They sit at 28th in the league with a save rate of 48.1%, and they have dispatched 314 relievers onto the field so far this year.

In their 7,518 innings played, the Royals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (26th in pro baseball). The Kansas City Royals have gotten 70 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in pro baseball). The Royals have accrued 806 assists, 46 errors and have accounted for 2,506 putouts so far this season.

Marsh (0-3 career mark) has a 5.40 earned run average and has surrendered 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.63 and he has faced 66 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 9 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.467 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.6. During his MLB career, Marsh has conceded 14 hits while totaling 21 K's in 15 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kansas City

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