Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 7/19/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Wednesday, July 19, 2023

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-135) Kansas City (+115)

The Detroit Tigers (42-51) are en route to Kauffman Stadium on Wednesday where they will take on the Kansas City Royals (27-68). The moneyline on this matchup has Detroit at -135 while Kansas City is at +115. The total is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Eduardo Rodriguez and Ryan Yarbrough.

The Tigers have tallied 140 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 87 baseballs out of the stadium. Detroit has a slugging percentage of .366 and have struck out 837 times, while being walked on 296 occasions. As a squad, the Detroit Tigers are compiling 3.9 runs per game, which puts them at 28th in the league. They have 349 RBI's as well as 721 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average comes in at .229. They have accounted for 360 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .298.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.95 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24. Tigers pitchers have yielded 112 home runs and 440 total runs (19th in the league). Detroit has allowed 763 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 401 earned runs. The Tigers have a team earned run average of 4.34 this year (18th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 785 hitters. They have walked 266 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.22 as a squad on the season.

The Tigers relievers have accumulated a save rate of 57.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 91 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 141 base runners for the year and 33.3% of them earned a run for their team. Tigers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 102 times in addition to having 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 303 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have notched 54 holds on the campaign (10th in baseball). They have accumulated 20 saves so far this season and have blown 15 out of their 35 chances to save the game.

The Tigers have transformed 70.0% of balls in play into outs in their 7,476 innings, ranking them 9th in MLB. The Detroit Tigers have accumulated 2,492 putouts for the season, in addition to 803 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .982 which has them sitting 27th in MLB, and have accumulated 72 double plays.

Rodriguez (74-49 career record) holds a FIP of 3.84 while he has gone up against 4,342 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 977 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 346 free passes. His earned run average is 4.04 (460 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.292. Rodriguez has taken the mound for 1,024 frames and has accumulated 1,045 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

The Kansas City Royals are sitting with an OBP of .293 in addition to a team batting average of .232 for the year. They have struck out on 855 instances (8th in baseball) and have notched a total of 733 base hits. Kansas City has recorded 82 home runs this season to go along with 335 runs batted in. The Royals have a team slugging percentage of .371 and they earn 3.68 runs per outing (29th in baseball). They have 149 two-baggers, while walking 242 times and scoring 350 runs.

The Kansas City pitching staff have conceded 509 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 5.23 (480 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 111 dingers and they relinquish 5.55 runs per 9 innings (28th in baseball). The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.434 in addition to having a FIP of 4.56 as a unit on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.20 (754 strikeouts vs 341 walks). They are sitting at 25th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 844.

Kansas City has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 27 save chances and they have walked away with 13 saves. They sit at 28th in MLB holding a save percentage of 48.1%, and they have dispatched 310 relievers to the mound for the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 74 times in high leverage situations and also on 62 occasions with runners on. Kansas City relievers hold an inherited score rate of 41.3% out of their 104 inherited base runners. With 56 save situations, the Royals have 29 holds in addition to 14 blown saves.

The Kansas City Royals have gotten 70 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in the majors). The Royals have accrued 799 assists, 45 errors and have a total of 2,479 putouts on the season. In 7,437 innings on the field, the Royals have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (27th in MLB).

So far in his career, Yarbrough has conceded 599 base hits while earning 486 punch outs in 612 innings pitched. Yarbrough (42-35 career mark) is the owner of a 4.38 ERA while conceding 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 298 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.206 and a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.50 and he has gone up against 2,570 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+115)

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