Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/12/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, August 12, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+170) Boston (-205)

The Detroit Tigers (52-63) are en route to Fenway Park on Saturday where they will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (60-55). The moneyline on this contest has Detroit at +170 and Boston is coming in at -205. The betting total comes in at 10. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Matt Manning and Brayan Bello.

As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are putting up 4.0 runs per outing, which puts them at 28th in baseball. They have accounted for 455 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .300. The Tigers have earned 179 doubles as a team and have smacked 107 baseballs out of the park. They have 437 runs batted in in addition to 916 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average is .235. Detroit is slugging .373 and have been called out on strikes 1,019 times, while drawing a walk on 346 occasions.

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The Tigers have compiled a team earned run average of 4.47 this season (21st in baseball), and they have rung up 969 batters. Tigers pitchers have allowed 136 home runs and 553 runs in total (20th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 328 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.17 as a squad so far this year. Detroit has surrendered 964 base knocks (8.5 per 9 innings) and 509 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.95 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26.

The Tigers relief pitchers have a save rate of 62.8% and stepped onto the hill in 113 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 168 runners on the year and 32.7% of those runners crossed the plate. Tigers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 118 times in addition to having 116 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have dispatched 376 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have tallied 67 holds this year (10th in MLB). They have accumulated 27 saves this year and have missed out on 16 of 43 save chances.

The Detroit Tigers have a total of 3,077 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 992 assists and 73 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which is 29th in baseball, and have earned 88 double plays. The Tigers have converted 69.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 9,231 innings on the diamond, ranking them 13th in baseball.

Manning has taken the ball for 201 frames and has earned 144 K's thus far in his career. Manning (9-14 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.54 while he has faced 873 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.86 (109 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.319. He has conceded 200 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 66 walks.

Boston has accounted for 128 home runs on the season to go along with 535 RBIs. They have recorded 254 doubles, while walking 348 times and earning 558 runs. The Boston Red Sox have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .327 in addition to a team batting average of .261 for the season. The Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .431 and they average 4.85 runs per outing (8th in MLB). They have struck out on 940 occasions (23rd in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,025 base hits.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.319 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.35 as a pitching staff on the year. They rank 24th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,007. The Boston pitching staff have yielded 531 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.35 (491 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.80 (990 strikeouts against 333 walks). They have allowed 148 homers and they surrender 4.70 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league).

Boston has called on relievers to take the mound in 43 save opportunities and they have recorded 33 saves. They rank 1st in the league holding a save percentage of 76.7%, and they have dispatched 361 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 103 times in high leverage situations and also on 81 occasions with base runners. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.5% of 123 inherited runners. With 98 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 55 holds in addition to 10 blown saves.

In 9,144 innings on the field, the Red Sox have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 67.7% (28th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 105 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .981 (30th in baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 1,023 assists, 80 errors and have accumulated 3,048 putouts during this campaign.

Bello (10-14 career mark) is the owner of a 4.01 ERA while allowing 9.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.56 and he has gone up against 726 batters thus far in his career. He has allowed 74 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.422 and a FIP of 3.9. So far in his career, Bello has given up 179 base knocks while he has tallied 146 punch outs in 166 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (+170)

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