Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 3/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+164) San Diego (-196)

The Colorado Rockies (68-94 last year) are hitting the road to Petco Park on Thursday where they will compete against the San Diego Padres (89-73 last season). The odds on this game have Colorado at +164 and San Diego is sitting at -196. The over/under is set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are German Marquez and Blake Snell.

Colorado had a slugging percentage of .398 and struck out 1,330 times, while taking a walk on 453 occasions. They earned 669 runs batted in in addition to 1,408 base knocks in the prior season, and their batting average came in at .254. The Rockies accounted for 280 two-baggers as a unit and knocked 149 balls out of the park. They earned a total of 698 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .315. As a unit, the Colorado Rockies compiled 4.3 runs per game, which had them at 16th in the league.

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The Rockies had an ERA of 5.07 in the previous season (30th in the league), and they rung up 1,187 batters. Their pitching staff walked 539 players from the other team and their FIP came in at 4.38 as a team over the course of the prior season. They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.20 and the pitching staff recorded a WHIP of 1.44. Rockies pitchers allowed 184 long balls in addition to 873 runs in total (30th in the league).

Rockies bullpen pitchers went to the mound with runners on base 135 times as well as having 182 contests in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers accumulated 65 holds over the course of last season (26th in the league). The Rockies relievers had a save rate of 67.2% and entered the game in 130 save situations. They recorded 43 saves during the previous year and did not convert 21 out of their 64 save opportunities. The relievers inherited 224 runners over the course of last year and 35.3% of them crossed the plate. The Rockies sent 497 relievers to the mound over the course of the prior season.

The Colorado Rockies had 4,276 putouts for the previous season, in addition to 1,592 assists and 99 errors. Their fielding rate held steady at .983 which had them ranked 26th in professional baseball, and they turned 154 double plays. The Rockies turned 67.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,828 innings on the diamond, which had them sitting at 30th in professional baseball.

Marquez has taken the hill for 996 frames and has earned 966 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.40 (487 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.287. He has conceded 983 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 299 free passes. Marquez (63-54 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.01 while he has faced 4,216 batters during his time in the majors.

The San Diego Padres recorded a team OBP of .318 as well as a team batting average of .241 over the course of last season. They were rung up on 1,327 occasions (22nd in baseball) and had a total of 1,318 base hits. San Diego knocked in 153 home runs for the previous season to go along with 682 RBIs. The Padres held a team slugging percentage of .382 and they scored 4.35 runs per outing (13th in baseball). They recorded 276 doubles, while walking 574 times and scoring 705 runs.

The Padres had a WHIP of 1.200 and were the owners of a FIP of 3.82 as a unit over the course of last season. Their K/BB ratio sat at 3.10 (1,451 strikeouts vs 468 bases on balls). They were ranked 9th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,263. They conceded 173 homers and they allowed 4.12 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff given up 660 runs during the previous year while having an ERA of 3.81 (611 earned runs given up).

Finishing with 145 save situations, the Padres compiled 70 holds and also 22 blown saves. San Diego had relief pitchers enter the game in 70 save opportunities and they recorded 48 saves. Their relievers came in 162 times in high leverage situations in addition to 127 occasions with runners on. San Diego bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 40.0% out of their 200 inherited runners. They were ranked 9th in MLB holding a save percentage of 68.6%, and they sent 488 relievers to the mound last season.

In their 12,990 innings on the diamond, the Padres had a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (8th in the majors). San Diego Padres twisted 116 double plays and had a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in baseball). The Padres recorded 1,362 assists, 76 errors and are sitting with 4,330 putouts last year.

Snell (57-46 career record) has earned a 3.41 earned run average while giving up 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and he has faced 3,377 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 308 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.245 and having a FIP of 3.4. In his pro baseball career, Snell has surrendered 660 hits while he has totaled 989 K's in 812 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Colorado (+164)

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