Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 3/31/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Friday, March 31, 2023

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+145) Seattle (-170)

The Cleveland Guardians (92-70 last year) are traveling to T-Mobile Park on Friday where they will attempt to defeat the Seattle Mariners (90-72 last season). The odds on this game have the Guardians at +145 and the Mariners are coming in at -170. The over/under comes in at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Hunter Gaddis and Robbie Ray.

As a squad, the Cleveland Guardians put up 4.3 runs per contest, which had them at 15th in baseball. They were sitting with 698 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .316. The Guardians earned 273 doubles as a squad and smacked 127 balls out of the stadium. They had 662 runs batted in as well as 1,410 base knocks in the previous season, and their team batting average came in at .254. Cleveland had a slugging % of .383 and struck out 1,122 times, while taking a walk on 450 occasions.

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The Guardians compiled a team earned run average of 3.46 in the previous season (6th in the league), and they rung up 1,390 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 435 opposing hitters and their FIP was 3.75 as a team over the course of last season. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 3.20 and the pitching staff recorded a WHIP of 1.16. Guardians pitchers surrendered 172 home runs and 634 runs (8th in the league).

The Guardians sent 507 relief pitchers to the hill for the prior year. The relief pitchers inherited 181 base runners over the course of last season and 28.7% of those players ended up scoring. They earned 51 saves over the course of last season and blew 18 out of their 69 save opportunities. The Guardians relief pitchers accumulated a save percentage of 73.9% and entered the game in 135 save situations. The relief pitchers notched 62 holds for the prior year (27th in the league). Guardians pitchers went to the mound with players on base 135 times and also had 168 contests in high leverage situations.

The Guardians converted 70.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of 13,104 innings on the field, ranking them 6th in baseball. The Cleveland Guardians amassed 4,368 putouts over the course of last year, in addition to 1,443 assists and 97 errors. Their fielding rate was at .984 which had them ranked 25th in baseball, and accumulated 127 double plays.

Gaddis has taken the mound for 7 innings and has tallied 5 K's in his pro baseball career. Gaddis (0-2 career mark) sits with a FIP of 15.38 while he has gone up against 40 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 18.41 (15 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 2.455. He has given up 15 base knocks (18.4 hits per nine innings) with 3 walks.

The Seattle Mariners tallied an OBP of .315 and a team batting average of .230 in the prior season. They were called out on strikes on 1,397 instances (11th in MLB) and had a total of 1,237 base hits. Seattle accumulated 197 home runs in the prior season to go along with 664 RBIs. The Mariners had a team slugging % of .390 and they averaged 4.26 runs per contest (18th in baseball). They recorded 229 two-baggers, while getting a free base 596 times as well as scoring 690 runs.

The Mariners had a WHIP of 1.191 and had a FIP of 3.90 as a staff over the course of last season. They were ranked 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,277. The Seattle pitching staff given up 623 runs last season while holding a team ERA of 3.59 (577 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio was 3.11 (1,391 strikeouts against 447 walks). They surrendered 186 dingers and they allowed 3.87 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB).

Ending the season with 148 save situations, the Mariners had 92 holds and 15 blown saves. Seattle called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 55 save chances and they earned 40 saves. Their relievers stepped onto the mound 175 times in high leverage situations and on 126 occasions with base runners. Seattle relief pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 27.6% out of their 163 inherited runners. They ranked 5th in MLB with a save rate of 72.7%, and they dispatched 536 relievers to the hill last year.

Out of their 13,023 innings on the field, the Mariners had a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (4th in the majors). Seattle Mariners turned 114 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in baseball). The Mariners accrued 1,317 assists, 69 errors and amassed 4,341 putouts for the previous season.

During his pro baseball career, Ray has surrendered 1,078 hits and he has 1,502 strikeouts in 1,224 innings pitched. He has surrendered 538 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.301 and a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.92 and he has faced 5,194 hitters during his MLB career. Ray (74-70 career record) has earned a 3.95 earned run average while surrendering 7.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (+145)

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