Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, May 21, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+120) New York (-140)

The New York Mets (23-23) are welcoming the Cleveland Guardians (20-24) at Citi Field on Sunday. The odds on this game have Cleveland at +120 while New York is priced at -140. The over/under is 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Shane Bieber and Justin Verlander.

Cleveland has a slugging % of .344 and have struck out 322 times, while being walked on 149 occasions. They have tallied 146 runs batted in as well as 337 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate sits at .230. The Guardians have hit 72 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 26 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 159 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .304. As a unit, the Cleveland Guardians are earning 3.6 runs per game, which is 28th in MLB.

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The Guardians hold a team earned run average of 3.91 on the campaign (9th in the league), and their staff has struck out 333 hitters. Guardians pitchers have allowed 46 long balls and also 191 runs in total (13th in the league). They have walked 118 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.13 as a team this year. Cleveland has allowed 389 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 172 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.82 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.28.

The Guardians have sent 140 relievers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 49 runners this season and 26.5% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 18 saves for the year and have not converted 11 of their 29 chances to save the game. The Guardians bullpen have earned a save percentage of 62.1% and stepped onto the hill in 51 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 22 holds on the year (19th in baseball). Guardians pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 40 times and also have had 63 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cleveland Guardians have amassed 1,187 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 418 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 18th in baseball, and they have twisted 31 double plays. The Guardians have turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,561 innings, ranking them 15th in professional baseball.

Bieber (57-28 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.07 while he has gone up against 3,070 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 674 base hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 166 free passes. His earned run average is 3.18 (268 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.106. Bieber has taken the ball for 759 innings and is sitting with 874 K's during his career.

The New York Mets have tallied a team on-base percentage of .323 in addition to a team batting average of .241 on the season. They have been rung up on 347 instances (27th in MLB) and are sitting with 369 hits. New York is sitting with 51 long balls for the year to go along with 192 RBIs. The Mets have a team SLG% of .389 and they score 4.35 runs per contest (19th in baseball). They have tallied 67 doubles, while getting a free base 163 times as well as scoring 200 runs.

The New York pitching staff have relinquished 216 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.78 (212 earned runs conceded). They have given up 63 dingers and they surrender 4.87 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.368 and have a FIP of 4.95 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (382 strikeouts vs 174 walks). They are currently ranked 16th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 372.

With 49 save situations, the Mets have accrued 33 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 16 save opportunities and they have walked away with 13 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 49 times in high leverage situations and on 38 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 24.6% of 57 inherited runners. They are ranked 1st in the league with a save percentage of 81.3%, and they have sent 146 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

In their 3,591 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.5% (6th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 42 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .991 (3rd in the majors). The Mets have 396 assists, 15 errors and have amassed 1,197 putouts so far this year.

In his MLB career, Verlander has allowed 2,669 base hits while totaling 3,213 strikeouts in 3,180 frames. Verlander (245-135 career mark) has a 3.25 ERA while giving up 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 1,148 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.118 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.63 and he has gone up against 12,949 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (+120)

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