Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 9/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-124) Detroit (+106)

The Cleveland Guardians (75-84) are headed to Comerica Park on Saturday where they will try to beat the Detroit Tigers (76-83). The moneyline on this matchup has Cleveland at -124 while Detroit is coming in at +106. The total is 8. The starting pitchers are Triston McKenzie and Brenan Hanifee.

As a squad, the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 4.1 runs per game, which is 27th in MLB. They are sitting with 653 runs scored and hold an OBP of .313. The Guardians have compiled 288 doubles as a team and have smacked 121 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 614 RBI's as well as 1,353 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .250. Cleveland has a slugging % of .381 and have struck out 1,119 times, while taking a walk on 461 occasions.

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The Guardians have compiled a team ERA of 3.94 over the course of the season (9th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,296 hitters. Guardians pitchers have given up 170 home runs and 679 total runs (8th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 520 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.19 as a squad so far this year. Cleveland has given up 1,321 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and 621 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.49 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30.

Guardians bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 135 times in addition to having 190 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 100 holds for the season (3rd in baseball). The Guardians relievers have a save percentage of 57.5% and stepped onto the hill in 185 save situations. They have tallied 46 saves on the campaign and have blown 34 of 80 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 191 base runners so far this year with 23.6% of them crossed home plate. The Guardians have dispatched 534 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Cleveland Guardians are sitting with 4,257 putouts this season, in addition to 1,397 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which has them ranked 13th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 117 double plays. The Guardians have converted 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,771 innings, which has them sitting 10th in pro baseball.

McKenzie has thrown 356 frames and is sitting with 383 K's so far in his career. His ERA is 3.76 (149 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.047. He has given up 252 base hits (6.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 121 free passes. McKenzie (18-23 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.02 while he has gone up against 1,417 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Detroit is sitting with 162 long balls on the season as well as 617 RBIs. They have notched 237 doubles, while getting a free base 494 times as well as earning 643 runs. The Detroit Tigers have accounted for an OBP of .303 and a team batting average of .235 this season. The Tigers hold a slugging % of .379 and they have an average of 4.04 runs per contest (28th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,458 occasions (8th in baseball) and are sitting with 1,262 hits.

The Detroit pitching staff have given up 731 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.27 (672 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 184 dingers and they concede 4.65 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Tigers have a team WHIP of 1.244 with a FIP of 4.13 as a squad so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.60 (1,351 strikeouts against 466 walks). They are sitting at 9th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,294.

Detroit has called on relievers to enter the contest in 62 save opportunities and they have earned 40 saves. They sit at 11th in the league with a save percentage of 64.5%, and they have dispatched 523 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 161 times in high leverage situations and on 166 occasions with base runners. Detroit relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.9% of 236 inherited base runners. Sitting with 166 save situations, the Tigers have recorded 99 holds and also 22 blown saves.

In 12,738 innings played, the Tigers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (8th in baseball). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 128 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .983 (27th in MLB). The Tigers have 1,377 assists, 98 errors and have earned 4,246 putouts for the year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Brenan Hanifee has allowed 3 base hits while tallying 2 strikeouts in 2 innings pitched. He has allowed 3 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.500 and a FIP of 7.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 0.00 and he has gone up against 9 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Brenan Hanifee (0-0 career win-loss record) has a 13.50 earned run average while allowing 13.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland (-124)

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