Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 9/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Friday, September 29, 2023

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Comerica Park is the location where the Detroit Tigers (74-83) will meet the Cleveland Guardians (75-84) on Friday. The starting pitchers will be Cal Quantrill and Joey Wentz.

As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are compiling 4.1 runs per contest, which puts them at 27th in MLB. They have 649 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .313. The Guardians have hit 287 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 121 balls out of the park. They have 610 RBI's as well as 1,342 hits for the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .249. Cleveland is slugging .381 and have been called out on strikes 1,111 times, while taking a walk on 459 occasions.

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The Guardians have compiled a team earned run average of 3.94 for the season (7th in the league), and they have rung up 1,287 hitters. Guardians pitchers have given up 170 home runs in addition to 676 runs in total (9th in MLB). They have walked 519 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.21 as a team on the year. Cleveland has conceded 1,313 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 618 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.30.

Guardians bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 135 times and also have had 189 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 98 holds on the year (5th in the league). The Guardians relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 57.0% and has come into the game in 182 save situations. They have accumulated 45 saves on the year and have blown 34 out of their 79 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 191 base runners this year and 23.6% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Guardians have dispatched 531 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Cleveland Guardians have accounted for 4,230 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,387 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .986 which ranks 13th in baseball, and have 117 double plays. The Guardians have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,690 innings on the field, which has them sitting 8th in professional baseball.

Quantrill has taken the mound for 565 innings and has earned 424 K's thus far in his career. Quantrill (34-23 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.23 and he has gone up against 2,384 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.80 (239 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.257. He has conceded 547 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 164 walks.

The Detroit Tigers have a team on-base percentage of .302 in addition to a batting average of .234 for the season. They have struck out on 1,441 occasions (8th in MLB) and have tallied 1,244 base knocks. Detroit is sitting with 158 home runs so far this year to go along with 602 runs batted in. The Tigers hold a team slugging percentage of .377 and they average 4.00 runs per contest (29th in the league). They have 236 doubles, while taking a walk 483 times as well as recording 628 runs.

The Detroit pitching staff have conceded 728 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.32 (670 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 183 dingers and they give up 4.69 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The Tigers hold a team WHIP of 1.251 in addition to having a FIP of 4.16 as a unit for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,332 strikeouts against 464 free passes). They sit at 10th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,284.

Sitting with 166 save situations, the Tigers have accumulated 99 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. Detroit has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 62 save opportunities and they have come away with 40 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 161 times in high leverage situations and on 166 occasions with runners on base. Detroit relievers have an inherited score percentage of 30.9% of 236 inherited runners. They are ranked 12th in the league with a save percentage of 64.5%, and they have dispatched 516 relievers to the mound so far this season.

Out of their 12,576 innings played, the Tigers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (10th in baseball). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 128 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (26th in baseball). The Tigers have recorded 1,362 assists, 97 errors and have 4,192 putouts on the campaign.

Wentz (5-14 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 5.63 earned run average and has given up 9.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.16 and he has gone up against 609 batters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 85 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.493 and having a FIP of 5.1. During his career, Wentz has given up 146 base knocks while earning 123 strikeouts in 136 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit

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