Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 10/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers
Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI
TV: Bally Sports Detroit
Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-108) Detroit (-112)
Comerica Park is the location where the Detroit Tigers (76-84) will try to defeat the Cleveland Guardians (76-84) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has Cleveland at -108 while Detroit is priced at -112. The over/under is set at 7.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Lucas Giolito and Eduardo Rodriguez.
Cleveland has a slugging % of .383 and have struck out 1,127 times, while taking a walk on 466 occasions. They have tallied 620 RBI's as well as 1,366 hits so far this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .251. The Guardians have earned 292 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 123 baseballs out of the park. They have a total of 660 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .314. As a unit, the Cleveland Guardians are notching 4.1 runs per outing, which puts them at 27th in the league.
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The Guardians have a team ERA of 3.95 on the year (8th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,301 hitters. Guardians pitchers have given up 172 home runs in addition to 684 total runs (8th in MLB). They have walked 521 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.20 as a team for the season. Cleveland has surrendered 1,334 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 626 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.50 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.30.
The Guardians relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 58.0% and stepped onto the hill in 189 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 191 base runners so far this season and 23.6% of them crossed home plate. Guardians pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 135 times as well as having 189 appearances in high leverage situations. The Guardians have dispatched 538 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have earned 103 holds on the campaign (3rd in the league). They have compiled 47 saves for the year and have blown 34 out of their 81 chances to get a save.
The Cleveland Guardians have accounted for 4,284 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,405 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them sitting 12th in professional baseball, and have 118 double plays. The Guardians have converted 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,852 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 9th in professional baseball.
Giolito (61-61 career mark) has a FIP of 4.43 while he has faced 4,234 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 879 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 381 free passes. His earned run average is 4.41 (494 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.249. Giolito has pitched in 1,008 frames and has 1,073 punch outs so far in his career.
The Detroit Tigers have a team on-base percentage of .304 and a batting average of .236 for the year. They have struck out on 1,463 instances (8th in baseball) and have earned 1,275 base knocks. Detroit has knocked in 164 home runs on the campaign to go along with 622 RBIs. The Tigers have a team slugging % of .381 and they score 4.05 runs per contest (28th in baseball). They have tallied 240 doubles, while taking a walk 495 times as well as scoring 648 runs.
The Detroit pitching staff have yielded 738 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.29 (679 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 186 dingers and they give up 4.66 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The Tigers have a team WHIP of 1.249 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.14 as a team on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.60 (1,359 strikeouts vs 471 free passes). They sit at 11th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,307.
With 166 save situations, the Tigers have amassed 99 holds and also 22 blown saves. Detroit has had relief pitchers enter the game in 62 save opportunities and they have walked away with 40 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 161 times in high leverage situations and on 167 occasions with runners on base. Detroit relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.8% of 237 inherited runners. They sit at 11th in baseball with a save percentage of 64.5%, and they have sent 527 relievers to the hill on the season.
Out of their 12,819 innings on the diamond, the Tigers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (8th in professional baseball). The Detroit Tigers have turned 129 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (27th in professional baseball). The Tigers have recorded 1,391 assists, 99 errors and have a tally of 4,273 putouts during this campaign.
During his MLB career, Rodriguez has given up 1,042 base knocks while accumulating 1,102 strikeouts in 1,093 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 492 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.296 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.94 and he has faced 4,634 batters so far in his MLB career. Rodriguez (81-53 career mark) is the owner of a 4.05 earned run average and has given up 8.6 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (-112)
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Additional Resources:
Detroit Tigers - Twitter
Cleveland Guardians - Twitter