Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+140) Boston (-165)

The Cleveland Guardians (13-13) are on their way to Fenway Park on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (13-14). The moneyline on this game has Cleveland at +140 and Boston is sitting at -165. The total is 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Logan Allen and Chris Sale.

The Guardians have hit 51 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 15 baseballs out of the park. Cleveland owns a slugging percentage of .353 and have struck out 193 times, while being walked on 99 occasions. As a squad, the Cleveland Guardians are notching 3.9 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 24th in baseball. They have recorded 90 RBI's in addition to 202 hits this season, and their batting average sits at .231. They have earned 100 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .313.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26. Guardians pitchers have given up 23 home runs and 110 runs in total (13th in baseball). Cleveland has surrendered 224 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 102 earned runs. The Guardians are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.88 on the season (11th in the league), and their staff has rung up 201 hitters. They have walked 73 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.93 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Guardians have dispatched 85 relievers to the hill for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 28 base runners for the year with 28.6% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 11 saves on the year and have blown 4 of 15 save opportunities. The Guardians relief pitchers have a save rate of 73.3% and stepped onto the hill in 29 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 14 holds on the year (15th in MLB). Guardians relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 23 times as well as having 40 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cleveland Guardians have amassed 709 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 252 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .989 which has them ranked 11th in pro baseball, and have 19 double plays. The Guardians have turned 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of 2,127 innings on the field, ranking them 12th in professional baseball.

Allen has pitched in 96 innings and has racked up 68 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 5.89 (63 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.661. He has given up 118 hits (11.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 42 free passes. Allen (5-10 career record) holds a FIP of 5.62 while he has gone up against 438 batters in the majors.

Boston has hit 34 home runs for the year to go along with 140 runs batted in. They have recorded 55 two-baggers, while getting a free base 94 times and putting up 148 runs. The Boston Red Sox have a team OBP of .328 and a team batting average of .251 on the campaign. The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .427 and they are scoring 5.48 runs per game (3rd in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 213 occasions (22nd in baseball) and have earned a total of 230 base knocks.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.363 with a FIP of 4.78 as a squad on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (228 strikeouts vs 82 walks). They rank 25th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 241. They have given up 38 homers and they give up 5.43 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have yielded 143 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 5.13 (135 earned runs yielded).

Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.5% out of their 16 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 15 times in high leverage situations and on 9 occasions with runners on base. With 19 save situations, the Red Sox have 12 holds in addition to 0 blown saves. They are ranked 1st in MLB holding a save percentage of 100.0%, and they have sent 83 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 7 save chances and they have recorded 7 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 24 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 232 assists, 17 errors and are sitting with 711 putouts over the course of the season. In their 2,133 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 67.8% (25th in baseball).

Thus far in his career, Sale has given up 1,392 base hits and he has 2,094 strikeouts in 1,701 frames. He has surrendered a total of 586 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.052 and a FIP of 3.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 5.27 and he has gone up against 6,862 opposing hitters in his career. Sale (115-77 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.10 ERA and has conceded 7.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-165)

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