Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, April 29, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+100) Boston (-120)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (13-13) will try to beat the Cleveland Guardians (12-13) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Guardians at +100 while the Red Sox are coming in at -120. The total is set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Zach Plesac and Garrett Whitlock.

The Guardians have recorded 49 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 13 baseballs out of the park. Cleveland owns a slugging percentage of .348 and have struck out 185 times, while being walked on 97 occasions. As a squad, the Cleveland Guardians are compiling 3.8 runs per game, which is 25th in baseball. They have accounted for 85 RBI's in addition to 194 hits this year, and their team batting average sits at .231. They have racked up 95 runs while holding a team OBP of .313.

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The Guardians have compiled a team earned run average of 3.96 on the season (11th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 196 batters. Guardians pitchers have allowed 23 home runs in addition to 108 total runs (14th in the league). They have walked 71 batters and their FIP is 3.97 as a unit on the year. Cleveland has allowed 216 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) as well as 100 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.76 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26.

Guardians relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 23 times as well as having 39 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 13 holds on the campaign (14th in MLB). The Guardians bullpen have a save rate of 71.4% and has entered the game in 27 save situations. They have compiled 10 saves for the year and have blown 4 of their 14 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 28 base runners on the year with 28.6% of those runners crossed home plate. The Guardians have sent 83 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Guardians have converted 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,046 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 13th in baseball. The Cleveland Guardians have 682 putouts thus far, as well as 237 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which is 14th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 18 double plays.

Plesac has taken the mound for 463 innings and has accounted for 358 K's during his pro baseball career. Plesac (26-27 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.51 while he has faced 1,934 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.14 (213 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.217. He has allowed 442 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) with 122 walks.

The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .429 and they tally 5.62 runs per game (3rd in baseball). They have 50 doubles, while taking a walk 92 times and racking up 146 runs. Boston has accounted for 34 home runs so far this season and 138 RBIs. They have been rung up on 208 instances (21st in baseball) and have 222 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have recorded a team OBP of .329 in addition to a team batting average of .252 this year.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.373 and have a FIP of 4.75 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (220 strikeouts against 80 free passes). They have a ranking of 25th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 233. They have given up 36 dingers and they allow 5.45 runs per 9 innings (26th in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have allowed 138 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 5.13 (130 earned runs given up).

Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.5% of 16 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 15 times in high leverage situations and on 9 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 19 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 12 holds and 0 blown saves. They rank 1st in the league holding a save percentage of 100.0%, and they have dispatched 82 relievers onto the field for the year. Boston has called on relievers to enter the game in 7 save opportunities and they have earned 7 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 23 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 225 assists, 17 errors and have a total of 684 putouts for the year. Out of their 2,052 innings played, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (25th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Whitlock has conceded 148 hits and he has 174 punch outs in 167 innings pitched. He has conceded 57 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.091 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.97 and he has gone up against 674 opposing batters during his pro baseball career. Whitlock (13-8 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.06 ERA and has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-120)

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