Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals

Date: Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-136) Washington (+115)

Nationals Park is the location where the Washington Nationals (34-49) will go up against the Cincinnati Reds (45-39) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Reds at -136 and the Nationals are at +115. The total is 10.5. The starting pitchers will be Brett Kennedy and Patrick Corbin.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 5.0 runs per contest, which puts them at 6th in the league. They have notched a total of 418 runs and hold an OBP of .335. The Reds have accumulated 150 doubles as a unit and have hit 88 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 403 runs batted in and 729 hits on the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .256. Cincinnati owns a slugging percentage of .414 and have struck out 748 times, while drawing a walk on 305 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.28 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.45. Reds pitchers have allowed 114 home runs and 438 total runs (27th in MLB). Cincinnati has surrendered 772 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 415 earned runs. The Reds hold a team earned run average of 4.98 for the season (27th in MLB), and they have struck out 721 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 316 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.78 as a squad so far this year.

The Reds relievers have earned a save rate of 69.8% and has entered the game in 90 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 160 base runners this year and 28.1% of them earned a run for their team. Reds bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 114 times and also have had 125 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 303 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers are sitting with 45 holds so far this year (11th in baseball). They have tallied 30 saves so far this season and have blown 13 of their 43 save opportunities.

The Reds have transformed 67.7% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,744 innings, which has them sitting at 27th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 2,248 putouts thus far, as well as 669 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which ranks 12th in pro baseball, and have 61 double plays.

Kennedy has taken the hill for 26 innings and is sitting with 18 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 6.75 (20 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.800. He has surrendered 36 hits (12.2 hits per nine innings) with 12 free passes. Kennedy (1-2 career record) has earned a FIP of 6.31 while he has faced 128 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Washington Nationals have compiled an OBP of .317 and a team batting average of .261 for the season. They have been rung up on 586 occasions (30th in the league) and have earned a total of 742 hits. Washington has tallied 68 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 329 RBIs. The Nationals hold a team slugging percentage of .396 and they score 4.14 runs per outing (25th in baseball). They have tallied 147 doubles, while walking 207 times and earning 344 runs.

The Washington pitching staff have surrendered 419 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.76 (386 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 113 homers and they relinquish 5.17 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Nationals have a team WHIP of 1.477 in addition to having a FIP of 4.99 as a pitching staff this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.70 (624 strikeouts vs 315 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 26th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 763.

Washington has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 39 save opportunities and they have come away with 23 saves. They sit at 22nd in MLB holding a save rate of 59.0%, and they have sent 257 relief pitchers to the hill this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 87 times in high leverage situations and on 74 occasions with base runners. Washington relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.5% out of their 120 inherited runners. With 83 save situations, the Nationals have compiled 44 holds and 16 blown saves.

In 6,573 innings played, the Nationals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (22nd in the majors). The Washington Nationals have gotten 81 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in the majors). The Nationals have accrued 771 assists, 50 errors and have earned a total of 2,191 putouts for the year.

Corbin (92-112 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.34 ERA and has conceded 9.5 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.08 and he has gone up against 7,024 opposing batters so far in his career. He has allowed 788 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.357 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. During his career, Corbin has given up 1,720 hits while totaling 1,532 punch outs in 1,634 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+115)

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