Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+110) St. Louis (-130)

The St. Louis Cardinals (69-90) welcome the Cincinnati Reds (81-78) at Busch Stadium on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has Cincinnati at +110 while St. Louis is at -130. The betting total comes in at 9. The men taking the mound are Brandon Williamson and Drew Rom.

The Reds have accrued 258 doubles as a team and have smacked 189 balls out of the park. Cincinnati is slugging .414 and have been called out on strikes 1,471 times, while taking a walk on 550 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 4.8 runs per outing, which puts them at 10th in the league. They have recorded 721 RBI's as well as 1,331 hits on the season, and their batting average is .247. They are sitting with 755 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .326.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.28 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.41. Reds pitchers have conceded 220 home runs in addition to 800 total runs (23rd in the league). Cincinnati has given up 1,399 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and also 753 earned runs. The Reds are sitting with a team ERA of 4.79 on the year (25th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,366 batters. They have walked 600 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.78 as a unit this year.

The Reds bullpen have a save percentage of 66.7% and has come into the game in 174 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 317 runners this season with 29.7% of them ended up scoring. Reds bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 218 times in addition to having 240 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 594 relievers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 90 holds on the season (9th in baseball). They have recorded 52 saves this year and have blown 26 out of their 78 chances to get a save.

The Reds have transformed 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,729 innings, ranking them 19th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have earned 4,243 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,259 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which puts them in 22nd in baseball, and have earned 122 double plays.

Williamson has taken the mound for 111 innings and has earned 96 K's in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.54 (56 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.288. He has allowed 106 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has 37 free passes. Williamson (4-5 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.57 and he has gone up against 467 opposing batters in the major leagues.

St. Louis has knocked in 207 home runs on the year as well as 676 runs batted in. They have hit 253 doubles, while taking a walk 557 times and recording 698 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have an on-base percentage of .325 and a team batting average of .249 on the season. The Cardinals hold a slugging % of .415 and they average 4.39 runs per outing (20th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,311 instances (21st in the league) and are sitting with 1,348 hits.

The Cardinals hold a team WHIP of 1.451 with a FIP of 4.39 as a unit on the year. They come in at 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,509. The St. Louis pitching staff have conceded 801 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.73 (737 earned runs allowed). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.60 (1,186 strikeouts against 524 walks). They have conceded 170 home runs and they give up 5.15 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league).

St. Louis has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 63 save opportunities and they have earned 35 saves. They rank 25th in MLB holding a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have dispatched 473 relievers to the hill on the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 162 times in high leverage situations and on 170 occasions with runners on. St. Louis relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.5% out of their 267 inherited runners. Sitting with 153 save situations, the Cardinals have accumulated 88 holds in addition to 28 blown saves.

Out of their 12,612 innings played, the Cardinals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.1% (29th in pro baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 153 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in baseball). The Cardinals have accrued 1,578 assists, 64 errors and are sitting with 4,204 putouts for the year.

During his career, Rom has conceded 44 hits while totaling 25 strikeouts in 29 innings. He has given up a total of 26 ER's while holding a WHIP of 2.045 and having a FIP of 5.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.56 and he has gone up against 148 opposing hitters during his career. Rom (1-4 career win-loss mark) has a 7.98 earned run average while allowing 13.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+110)

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