Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, September 29, 2023

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

The Cincinnati Reds (81-78) are headed to Busch Stadium on Friday where they will compete against the St. Louis Cardinals (69-89). The pitchers expected to start will be Connor Phillips and Jake Woodford.

As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.8 runs per contest, which has them at 10th in MLB. They have tallied 752 runs scored while having a team OBP of .326. The Reds have hit 255 doubles as a unit and have knocked 189 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 718 RBI's and 1,323 base knocks for the year, and their batting average sits at .247. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .414 and have struck out 1,462 times, while being walked on 549 occasions.

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The Reds hold a team earned run average of 4.79 so far this season (25th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,358 batters. Reds pitchers have given up 220 long balls in addition to 796 runs in total (24th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 598 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.80 as a team for the year. Cincinnati has allowed 1,388 base knocks (8.9 per 9 innings) and 749 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.41.

The Reds have sent 589 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 316 runners so far this season and 29.7% of them crossed home plate. They have compiled 52 saves for the season and have blown 26 of 78 save opportunities. The Reds bullpen have earned a save percentage of 66.7% and has come into the game in 174 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 90 holds on the year (9th in the league). Reds pitchers have entered the game with runners on 217 times in addition to having 240 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have turned 68.7% of balls in play into outs out of 12,657 innings on the field, which ranks them 18th in the majors. The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 4,219 putouts for the season, as well as 1,246 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them ranked 22nd in MLB, and have 120 double plays.

Phillips has taken the hill for 20 innings and has accumulated 26 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Phillips (1-0 career mark) sits with a FIP of 5.48 while going up against 93 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 5.66 (13 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.355. He has given up 18 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 10 free passes.

The Cardinals hold a slugging percentage of .417 and they average 4.43 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have put up 251 two-baggers, while walking 549 times as well as putting up 696 runs. St. Louis has knocked in 207 home runs so far this year to go along with 675 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,295 occasions (21st in baseball) and are sitting with 1,334 hits. The St. Louis Cardinals have a team on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .249 so far this year.

The Cardinals have a team WHIP of 1.453 in addition to having a FIP of 4.41 as a unit for the season. They rank 29th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,494. The St. Louis pitching staff have relinquished 795 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.75 (731 earned runs given up). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.60 (1,174 strikeouts vs 518 free passes). They have given up 170 home runs and they relinquish 5.17 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league).

Sitting with 153 save situations, the Cardinals have compiled 88 holds and also 28 blown saves. St. Louis has called on relievers to enter the contest in 63 save opportunities and they have earned 35 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 160 times in high leverage situations and on 166 occasions with runners on. St. Louis relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.3% out of their 262 inherited base runners. They sit at 25th in baseball holding a save rate of 55.6%, and they have sent 468 relievers to the hill on the season.

In 12,468 innings played, the Cardinals have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 67.1% (29th in pro baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 148 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (3rd in the majors). The Cardinals have racked up 1,561 assists, 63 errors and have 4,156 putouts for the season.

In his career, Woodford has allowed 184 base hits while tallying 119 strikeouts in 183 innings pitched. Woodford (10-6 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.98 ERA and has surrendered 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 81 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.344 and a FIP of 4.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.92 and he has faced 776 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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