Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 6/9/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, June 9, 2023

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+165) St. Louis (-195)

The St. Louis Cardinals (26-37) are welcoming the Cincinnati Reds (29-33) at Busch Stadium on Friday. The odds on this game have the Reds at +165 while the Cardinals are priced at -195. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Ben Lively and Jordan Montgomery.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.7 runs per game, which has them sitting at 9th in MLB. They have notched a total of 290 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .334. The Reds have hit 113 doubles as a unit and have knocked 51 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 279 RBI's and 537 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate comes in at .256. Cincinnati is slugging .396 and have been called out on strikes 563 times, while being walked on 221 occasions.

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The Reds hold a team ERA of 5.02 this season (27th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 552 batters. Reds pitchers have conceded 79 home runs and 320 total runs (27th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 226 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.53 as a squad on the campaign. Cincinnati has yielded 561 base hits (9.2 per 9 innings) as well as 306 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.44 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.44.

The Reds relievers have a save percentage of 69.2% and has entered the game in 57 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 120 runners this year and 31.7% of them ended up scoring. Reds pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 83 times as well as having 82 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 216 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers are sitting with 29 holds on the campaign (24th in baseball). They have 18 saves this season and have blown 8 of 26 save chances.

The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 1,645 putouts this year, as well as 491 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them ranked 10th in pro baseball, and have 47 double plays. The Reds have converted 67.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 4,935 innings, which ranks them 29th in MLB.

Lively (7-13 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.89 and he has faced 640 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 156 base hits (9.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 47 walks. His earned run average is 4.45 (74 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.356. Lively has taken the ball for 149 frames and has accumulated 109 punch outs thus far in his career.

St. Louis is sitting with 85 home runs this season as well as 280 runs batted in. They have 106 two-baggers, while taking a walk 221 times as well as racking up 290 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have tallied an on-base percentage of .323 as well as a batting average of .249 this season. The Cardinals hold a team slugging percentage of .422 and they have an average of 4.60 runs per contest (13th in baseball). They have been rung up on 513 instances (21st in the league) and have earned a total of 534 base hits.

The Cardinals have a team WHIP of 1.441 in addition to having a FIP of 4.14 as a squad for the season. They rank 29th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 582. The St. Louis pitching staff have given up 289 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.23 (260 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (535 strikeouts vs 215 walks). They have allowed 63 homers and they surrender 4.70 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball).

St. Louis relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.3% out of their 120 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 71 times in high leverage situations and on 74 occasions with base runners. With 56 save situations, the Cardinals have accumulated 29 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. They are ranked 29th in MLB holding a save percentage of 51.9%, and they have sent 191 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. St. Louis has called on relievers to enter the game in 27 save opportunities and they have tallied 14 saves.

In 4,977 innings on the field, the Cardinals have earned a defensive efficiency of 66.2% (30th in baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 56 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .989 (7th in baseball). The Cardinals have accrued 586 assists, 26 errors and have earned 1,659 putouts this year.

During his pro baseball career, Montgomery has allowed 603 hits while tallying 599 K's in 632 innings. He has given up 273 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.234 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.38 and he has gone up against 2,651 opposing hitters in his career. Montgomery (30-30 career mark) has earned a 3.89 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Louis (-195)

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