Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 6/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Sunday, June 11, 2023

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+105) St. Louis (-125)

The St. Louis Cardinals (27-37) host the Cincinnati Reds (29-35) at Busch Stadium on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Reds at +105 while the Cardinals are coming in at -125. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Hunter Greene and Adam Wainwright.

Cincinnati is slugging .393 and have been rung up 583 times, while being walked on 228 occasions. They have recorded 283 runs batted in and 550 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is at .255. The Reds have hit 118 doubles as a team and have hit 51 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 294 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .332. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.6 runs per outing, which ranks them 11th in the league.

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The Reds are sitting with a team earned run average of 5.08 over the course of the season (28th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 564 batters. Reds pitchers have allowed 83 home runs and also 333 total runs (28th in the league). They have walked 233 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.59 as a team on the season. Cincinnati has given up 584 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 319 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.42 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.45.

The Reds relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 69.2% and has entered the game in 57 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 123 base runners on the campaign and 30.9% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Reds relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 85 times as well as having 82 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 221 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have accumulated 29 holds on the campaign (25th in the league). They have compiled 18 saves on the season and have blown 8 out of their 26 save opportunities.

The Reds have turned 67.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,088 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 29th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have a tally of 1,696 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 509 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which has them ranked 9th in baseball, and have earned 48 double plays.

Greene has taken the hill for 187 frames and has tallied 252 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.27 (89 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.247. He has surrendered 161 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 73 free passes. Greene (6-17 career record) holds a FIP of 4.08 while he has gone up against 798 opposing batters in the majors.

The Cardinals have a team slugging % of .424 and they score 4.64 runs per outing (9th in the league). They have recorded 106 doubles, while taking a walk 223 times as well as recording 297 runs. St. Louis has compiled 88 long balls so far this year as well as 287 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 521 instances (22nd in baseball) and are sitting with 544 hits. The St. Louis Cardinals hold an on-base percentage of .323 and a batting average of .250 over the course of the season.

The St. Louis pitching staff have surrendered 293 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.23 (264 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 63 dingers and they concede 4.69 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Cardinals hold a team WHIP of 1.440 in addition to having a FIP of 4.11 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (544 strikeouts against 220 free passes). They are sitting at 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 589.

With 58 save situations, the Cardinals have earned 30 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. St. Louis has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 28 save chances and they have tallied 15 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 74 times in high leverage situations and on 76 occasions with runners on base. St. Louis relievers have an inherited score rate of 28.0% of 125 inherited base runners. They rank 26th in the league with a save percentage of 53.6%, and they have dispatched 195 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

In their 5,058 innings on the field, the Cardinals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 66.3% (30th in professional baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 56 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (6th in MLB). The Cardinals have 595 assists, 26 errors and have 1,686 putouts this year.

Wainwright (197-118 record in his career) has earned a 3.41 earned run average and has conceded 8.6 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.07 and he has gone up against 10,782 batters during his career. He has given up 985 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.222 and having a FIP of 3.5. In his career, Wainwright has conceded 2,471 hits and he has 2,166 K's in 2,599 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Louis (-125)

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