Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 10/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-108) St. Louis (-112)

Busch Stadium is the site where the St. Louis Cardinals (69-91) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (82-78) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Reds at -108 and the Cardinals are priced at -112. The over/under is 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Hunter Greene and Miles Mikolas.

The Reds have hit 261 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 195 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati is slugging .418 and have struck out 1,478 times, while drawing a walk on 552 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.8 runs per game, which ranks them 9th in baseball. They have accounted for 738 runs batted in in addition to 1,348 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is at .249. They have a total of 774 runs scored and hold an OBP of .327.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.27 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.41. Reds pitchers have surrendered 221 long balls and also 802 total runs (23rd in MLB). Cincinnati has allowed 1,405 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 755 earned runs. The Reds have a team ERA of 4.77 for the season (24th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,369 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 602 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.78 as a team for the season.

The Reds relievers have a save percentage of 67.1% and has entered the game in 175 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 317 base runners on the season and 29.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Reds relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 218 times in addition to having 240 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 595 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have racked up 90 holds for the season (9th in baseball). They have accumulated 53 saves so far this year and have blown 26 out of their 79 chances to get a save.

The Cincinnati Reds have 4,270 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,265 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them ranked 22nd in pro baseball, and they have twisted 124 double plays. The Reds have converted 68.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,810 innings, ranking them 20th in MLB.

Greene has thrown 232 frames and has accounted for 310 strikeouts thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.56 (118 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.294. He has allowed 206 base hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 95 walks. Greene (9-19 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.35 and he has faced 1,003 batters in the major leagues.

The St. Louis Cardinals have an on-base percentage of .324 as well as a team batting average of .249 this year. They have struck out on 1,314 instances (21st in MLB) and have accounted for 1,354 hits. St. Louis has knocked in 208 home runs for the year to go along with 678 RBIs. The Cardinals hold a team slugging percentage of .414 and they average 4.38 runs per outing (20th in the league). They have 254 doubles, while walking 559 times as well as scoring 700 runs.

The St. Louis pitching staff have surrendered 820 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.79 (751 earned runs relinquished). They have yielded 176 dingers and they concede 5.23 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.455 and have a FIP of 4.44 as a unit for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.60 (1,193 strikeouts vs 526 walks). They are currently ranked 29th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,526.

With 153 save situations, the Cardinals have tallied 88 holds and also 28 blown saves. St. Louis has had relief pitchers take the mound in 63 save opportunities and they have earned 35 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 162 times in high leverage situations and on 171 occasions with runners on. St. Louis relievers have an inherited score percentage of 32.2% out of their 270 inherited runners. They rank 25th in MLB holding a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have sent 477 relievers to the hill for the season.

In their 12,693 innings played, the Cardinals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.1% (29th in professional baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 153 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in pro baseball). The Cardinals have accrued 1,583 assists, 67 errors and are sitting with 4,231 putouts this season.

Mikolas (53-53 career record) is the owner of a 3.93 earned run average while conceding 8.9 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.60 and he has gone up against 3,802 batters in his career. He has given up a total of 401 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.189 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. In his MLB career, Mikolas has surrendered 907 base knocks while he has accumulated 663 strikeouts in 917 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-108)

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