Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/3/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres

Date: Wednesday, May 3, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+235) San Diego (-280)

Petco Park is the location where the San Diego Padres (16-14) will play the Cincinnati Reds (12-17) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Reds at +235 while the Padres are sitting at -280. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Luis Cessa and Seth Lugo.

The Reds have accounted for 43 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 20 balls out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .365 and have been called out on strikes 271 times, while being walked on 102 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 17th in baseball. They have accrued 121 runs batted in in addition to 237 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is at .247. They are sitting with 128 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .326.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.61 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.53. Reds pitchers have allowed 32 home runs and 147 runs (24th in baseball). Cincinnati has surrendered 279 hits (10.0 per 9 innings) as well as 141 earned runs. The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 5.05 on the campaign (26th in the league), and the staff has struck out 274 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 105 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.31 as a team this year.

Reds pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 36 times as well as having 40 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 14 holds this year (17th in MLB). The Reds relievers have a save rate of 50.0% and has entered the game in 28 save situations. They have compiled 6 saves on the year and have blown 6 out of their 12 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 60 base runners for the year with 28.3% of them crossed the plate. The Reds have sent 101 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with 754 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 214 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which has them ranked 16th in professional baseball, and have 23 double plays. The Reds have converted 63.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,262 innings on the field, which has them ranked 30th in the majors.

Cessa (17-21 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.72 while facing 1,784 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 416 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 138 free passes. His ERA is 4.41 (206 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.317. Cessa has pitched in 420 frames and has earned 329 K's so far in his career.

The Padres hold a slugging % of .407 and they score 4.30 runs per game (19th in baseball). They have hit 55 doubles, while taking a walk 117 times and racking up 129 runs. San Diego is sitting with 36 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 123 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 269 occasions (10th in baseball) and have tallied 230 hits. The San Diego Padres have earned a team on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .235 for the season.

The San Diego pitching staff have yielded 137 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.58 (135 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 39 HR's and they allow 4.65 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.357 with a FIP of 4.70 as a squad on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (257 strikeouts vs 105 free passes). They come in at 21st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 255.

Sitting with 38 save situations, the Padres have accrued 22 holds and also 4 blown saves. San Diego has called on relievers to enter the contest in 16 save opportunities and they have tallied 12 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 34 times in high leverage situations in addition to 17 occasions with base runners. San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 44.1% out of their 34 inherited runners. They rank 8th in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 91 relievers to the hill for the year.

In their 2,391 innings played, the Padres are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.8% (13th in the majors). The San Diego Padres have turned 23 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .994 (1st in professional baseball). The Padres have 283 assists, 7 errors and have a total of 797 putouts during this campaign.

Lugo (34-26 mark in his career) has earned a 3.48 earned run average while conceding 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.73 and he has faced 2,165 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 202 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.172 and having a FIP of 3.6. Thus far in his career, Lugo has allowed 469 base hits while he has totaled 534 K's in 522 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take San Diego (-280) and under 9 runs

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