Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/2/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, May 2, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+155) San Diego (-180)

Petco Park is the site where the San Diego Padres (15-14) will try to defeat the Cincinnati Reds (12-16) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Cincinnati at +155 while San Diego is sitting at -180. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Graham Ashcraft and Michael Wacha.

Cincinnati is slugging .365 and have struck out 260 times, while drawing a walk on 102 occasions. They have accounted for 118 runs batted in as well as 229 hits on the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .248. The Reds have earned 42 doubles as a team and have hit 19 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 125 runs and have an on-base percentage of .330. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 4.5 runs per contest, which ranks them 17th in MLB.

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The Reds have an earned run average of 4.92 for the year (25th in the league), and their staff has rung up 265 batters. Reds pitchers have allowed 31 home runs and 139 runs (23rd in baseball). They have walked 101 opposing players and their FIP is 4.31 as a team this year. Cincinnati has conceded 263 base hits (9.7 per 9 innings) as well as 133 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.62 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.50.

The Reds have dispatched 98 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 59 base runners on the season with 27.1% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 6 saves on the season and have blown 6 of 12 save opportunities. The Reds relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 50.0% and has come into the game in 28 save situations. The relievers have tallied 14 holds over the course of the season (17th in baseball). Reds relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 35 times and also have had 39 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have converted 64.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,190 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 30th in baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 730 putouts thus far, in addition to 206 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which ranks 17th in pro baseball, and have a total of 21 double plays.

Ashcraft (7-6 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.12 while facing 587 opposing batters in the majors. He has conceded 139 base knocks (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 45 free passes. His ERA is 4.27 (64 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.363. Ashcraft has taken the mound for 135 frames and has accounted for 95 strikeouts in his career.

The Padres hold a team slugging % of .399 and they are scoring 4.17 runs per contest (21st in MLB). They have hit 51 doubles, while walking 113 times and scoring 121 runs. San Diego has knocked in 35 home runs on the year as well as 115 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 260 occasions (12th in the league) and have 214 base hits. The San Diego Padres have accumulated a team OBP of .313 as well as a batting average of .227 this season.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.374 and have a FIP of 4.77 as a unit on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.60 (246 strikeouts against 105 bases on balls). They come in at 20th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 247. They have allowed 38 homers and they allow 4.71 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 134 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.64 (132 earned runs conceded).

San Diego bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 44.1% out of 34 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 34 times in high leverage situations and also on 17 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 36 save situations, the Padres have recorded 21 holds and also 4 blown saves. They sit at 8th in the league with a save rate of 73.3%, and they have dispatched 89 relievers onto the diamond on the year. San Diego has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 15 save chances and they have earned 11 saves.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 23 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .993 (1st in the majors). The Padres have recorded 276 assists, 7 errors and have a total of 770 putouts for the year. In 2,310 innings on the diamond, the Padres have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (12th in baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Wacha has given up 1,171 base knocks while he has earned 1,044 K's in 1,179 frames. Wacha (76-51 career mark) is the owner of a 4.11 earned run average while surrendering 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 538 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.313 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and he has faced 5,005 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-180)

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