Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 4/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, April 22, 2023

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+125) Pittsburgh (-145)

The Cincinnati Reds (7-12) are hitting the road to PNC Park on Saturday where they will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (13-7). The odds on this game have Cincinnati at +125 while Pittsburgh is coming in at -145. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Luis Cessa and Rich Hill.

Cincinnati has a slugging % of .368 and have been rung up 182 times, while drawing a walk on 72 occasions. They have 82 RBI's in addition to 149 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .240. The Reds have recorded 29 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 15 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 85 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 4.5 runs/g, which has them at 18th in the league.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.38 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.58. Reds pitchers have surrendered 22 home runs and also 102 total runs (24th in the league). Cincinnati has conceded 191 base hits (10.3 per 9 innings) and 99 earned runs. The Reds are sitting with a team earned run average of 5.36 so far this year (26th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 171 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 72 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.43 as a team on the season.

Reds pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 26 times in addition to having 27 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have recorded 9 holds this year (19th in MLB). The Reds relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 50.0% and has come into the game in 19 save situations. They have compiled 4 saves for the year and have blown 4 of 8 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 46 runners on the season with 30.4% of them crossed the plate. The Reds have dispatched 67 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for 499 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 146 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them ranked 18th in MLB, and have a total of 14 double plays. The Reds have transformed 63.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,497 innings, which has them sitting at 30th in MLB.

Cessa has thrown 411 innings and has racked up 323 punch outs during his MLB career. Cessa (16-20 career mark) has a FIP of 4.77 while he has faced 1,743 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.40 (201 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.311. He has surrendered 402 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 137 free passes.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have accumulated an on-base percentage of .331 as well as a batting average of .253 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 159 occasions (20th in baseball) and have recorded 171 base hits. Pittsburgh has compiled 27 HRs on the year to go along with 98 RBIs. The Pirates have a slugging percentage of .446 and they average 5.15 runs per game (7th in MLB). They have notched 38 two-baggers, while taking a walk 78 times and recording 103 runs.

The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.414 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.30 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They are currently ranked 22nd in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 173. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 83 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.04 (80 earned runs conceded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (169 strikeouts against 79 bases on balls). They have conceded 20 homers and they surrender 4.19 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

Pittsburgh relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 20.8% out of 24 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 25 times in high leverage situations in addition to 16 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 28 save situations, the Pirates have recorded 16 holds and also 2 blown saves. They are ranked 5th in MLB with a save percentage of 81.8%, and they have sent 62 relievers onto the diamond over the course of the season. Pittsburgh has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 11 save chances and they have walked away with 9 saves.

In 1,608 innings on the diamond, the Pirates hold a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (20th in baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 18 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (21st in baseball). The Pirates have recorded 157 assists, 11 errors and have earned 536 putouts for the season.

Thus far in his career, Hill has allowed 1,087 hits while totaling 1,309 punch outs in 1,280 innings. He has conceded 551 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.230 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.68 and he has faced 5,368 batters in his MLB career. Hill (83-61 career mark) has a 3.87 earned run average and has allowed 7.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-145)

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