Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/6/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, April 6, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+175) Philadelphia (-205)

The Cincinnati Reds (3-2) are traveling to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday where they will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (1-4). The line on this matchup has the Reds at +175 and the Phillies are priced at -205. The total comes in at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Nick Lodolo and Zack Wheeler.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 5.0 runs per outing, which ranks them 12th in the league. They have accounted for 25 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .335. The Reds have tallied 6 doubles as a unit and have smacked 10 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 24 runs batted in and 42 hits on the season, and their team batting average comes in at .261. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .509 and have struck out 45 times, while taking a walk on 16 occasions.

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Reds pitchers have relinquished 3 home runs in addition to 26 runs (13th in the league). They have walked 21 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.56 as a squad over the course of the season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.14 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.51. The Reds have compiled a team earned run average of 4.80 for the year (19th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 45 hitters.

The Reds have turned 65.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 405 innings, which ranks them 26th in the majors. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for 135 putouts for the season, as well as 42 assists and 4 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .978 which ranks 26th in the majors, and they have twisted 2 double plays.

Lodolo has taken the ball for 108 innings and has earned 140 K's thus far in his career. Lodolo (5-7 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.75 while he has gone up against 465 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.66 (44 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.274. He has surrendered 97 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 41 walks.

The Phillies have a team slugging percentage of .450 and they score 3.20 runs per outing (25th in the league). They have 13 doubles, while walking 9 times and scoring 16 runs. Philadelphia has knocked in 3 home runs for the year and 14 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 47 occasions (11th in the league) and have earned a total of 51 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a team OBP of .317 as well as a team batting average of .283 on the year.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 38 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 7.46 (34 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 9 home runs and they concede 8.34 runs per 9 innings (30th in MLB). The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.732 and have a FIP of 5.79 as a team on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 1.83 (42 strikeouts vs 23 walks). They rank 21st in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 48.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 2 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (16th in the majors). The Phillies have racked up 37 assists, 2 errors and have earned 123 putouts this season. In their 369 innings on the field, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 65.4% (24th in the majors).

Wheeler (74-58 career win-loss record) has a 3.44 ERA while conceding 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.26 and he has gone up against 4,949 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has surrendered 455 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.205 and a FIP of 3.4. During his career, Wheeler has allowed 1,068 base hits while totaling 1,196 K's in 1,191 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+175)

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