Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/17/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, September 17, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+102) New York (-122)

The Cincinnati Reds (77-72) are en route to Citi Field on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Mets (68-79). The odds on this game have Cincinnati at +102 while New York is at -122. The over/under comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Brandon Williamson and Tylor Megill.

Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .412 and have been called out on strikes 1,383 times, while being walked on 506 occasions. They have accumulated 670 runs batted in as well as 1,247 hits for the year, and their team batting average is .247. The Reds have accounted for 246 doubles as a team and have hit 173 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 703 runs scored while having a team OBP of .325. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.7 runs/g, which has them sitting at 11th in MLB.

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The Reds have a team earned run average of 4.73 for the season (24th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,271 batters. Reds pitchers have yielded 206 home runs and 742 runs (23rd in the league). They have walked 560 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.80 as a unit over the course of the season. Cincinnati has yielded 1,301 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 697 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.40.

Reds pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 204 times and also have had 223 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 84 holds on the year (10th in the league). The Reds relievers have a save rate of 69.4% and has come into the game in 161 save situations. They have earned 50 saves so far this season and have blown 22 out of their 72 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 293 runners this year and 28.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Reds have dispatched 552 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Cincinnati Reds have notched a total of 3,979 putouts thus far, as well as 1,194 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which has them ranked 20th in MLB, and have accumulated 114 double plays. The Reds have turned 68.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,937 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 18th in MLB.

Williamson (4-4 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.56 and he has faced 429 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 96 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) with 35 free passes. His earned run average is 4.47 (51 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.276. Williamson has taken the mound for 102 innings and has accumulated 91 punch outs in his career.

The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .408 and they are earning 4.41 runs per contest (19th in baseball). They have hit 201 doubles, while walking 489 times and racking up 649 runs. New York has compiled 196 long balls for the season to go along with 631 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,196 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have totaled 1,158 base hits. The New York Mets have compiled an on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .238 on the campaign.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.369 in addition to having a FIP of 4.52 as a team on the year. They sit at 13th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,210. The New York pitching staff have allowed 670 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.37 (624 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (1,264 strikeouts vs 549 walks). They have relinquished 175 home runs and they relinquish 4.69 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league).

New York has had relievers enter the game in 50 save opportunities and they have come away with 32 saves. They rank 13th in the league with a save percentage of 64.0%, and they have sent 484 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season. Their relievers have taken the field 141 times in high leverage situations in addition to 145 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.6% out of 218 inherited base runners. With 135 save situations, the Mets have accrued 80 holds in addition to 18 blown saves.

Out of their 11,571 innings on the field, the Mets hold a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (17th in professional baseball). The New York Mets have turned 129 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (18th in the majors). The Mets have accrued 1,266 assists, 79 errors and have earned a total of 3,857 putouts on the campaign.

Megill (16-15 career mark) is the owner of a 4.86 earned run average and has allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.58 and he has gone up against 1,068 hitters in his MLB career. He has conceded 132 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.432 and having a FIP of 4.7. During his career, Megill has conceded 257 hits while he has tallied 240 punch outs in 244 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+102)

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