Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/16/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-135) New York (+114)

The New York Mets (68-78) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (76-72) at Citi Field on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Reds at -135 and the Mets are sitting at +114. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Hunter Greene and Jose Quintana.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 4.7 runs per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. They have 698 runs while having a team OBP of .325. The Reds have earned 246 two-baggers as a team and have hit 171 balls out of the park. They have recorded 666 RBI's as well as 1,239 hits for the year, and their batting average is at .247. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .412 and have struck out 1,370 times, while drawing a walk on 504 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.41. Reds pitchers have conceded 205 home runs and 739 total runs (23rd in the league). Cincinnati has conceded 1,296 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and 694 earned runs. The Reds have an earned run average of 4.74 over the course of the season (24th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,262 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 556 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.80 as a squad on the campaign.

The Reds bullpen have earned a save percentage of 69.0% and has come into the game in 159 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 289 runners this year with 29.1% of those runners ended up scoring. Reds pitchers have entered the game with runners on 202 times as well as having 221 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 549 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen have earned 83 holds for the year (10th in the league). They have compiled 49 saves so far this year and have missed out on 22 of their 71 save opportunities.

The Reds have converted 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,856 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 18th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 3,952 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,186 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which ranks 20th in MLB, and they have turned 113 double plays.

Greene (9-19 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.28 while he has gone up against 938 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 191 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 92 walks. His earned run average is 4.44 (107 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.304. Greene has taken the mound for 217 innings and is sitting with 287 K's thus far in his career.

The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .409 and they tally 4.42 runs per contest (19th in the league). They have hit 200 doubles, while taking a walk 485 times and racking up 646 runs. New York has tallied 195 home runs so far this season to go along with 628 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,187 instances (23rd in MLB) and are sitting with 1,153 hits. The New York Mets are sitting with an on-base percentage of .319 as well as a batting average of .239 for the season.

The New York pitching staff have allowed 665 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.37 (620 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 173 long balls and they give up 4.69 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.370 and have a FIP of 4.52 as a squad so far this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (1,251 strikeouts against 547 bases on balls). They rank 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,202.

With 135 save situations, the Mets have amassed 80 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 50 save chances and they have tallied 32 saves. Their relievers have come in 141 times in high leverage situations and also on 143 occasions with runners on. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.0% out of their 215 inherited runners. They rank 14th in MLB holding a save rate of 64.0%, and they have sent 481 relievers to the hill this season.

Out of their 11,490 innings on the diamond, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (17th in baseball). The New York Mets have turned 129 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,259 assists, 77 errors and have 3,830 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Quintana has surrendered 1,750 base knocks while earning 1,575 K's in 1,782 frames. Quintana (91-92 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.73 earned run average while giving up 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 738 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.277 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.99 and he has gone up against 7,462 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-135)

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