Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/15/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, September 15, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-118) New York (-102)

The Cincinnati Reds (76-71) are traveling to Citi Field on Friday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Mets (67-78). The moneyline on this game has the Reds at -118 and the Mets are priced at -102. The over/under is 8.5. The starting pitchers are Andrew Abbott and David Peterson.

The Reds have accounted for 246 doubles as a team and have smacked 169 baseballs out of the stadium. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .412 and have been called out on strikes 1,360 times, while drawing a walk on 500 occasions. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.7 runs/g, which is 11th in MLB. They have 664 RBI's in addition to 1,234 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average is at .248. They have 696 runs scored and hold an OBP of .326.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.41. Reds pitchers have surrendered 203 long balls in addition to 731 total runs (23rd in MLB). Cincinnati has surrendered 1,287 base knocks (8.8 per 9 innings) and 686 earned runs. The Reds are sitting with a team ERA of 4.72 on the campaign (24th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,255 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 554 batters and their FIP is 4.79 as a unit on the year.

Reds bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 201 times in addition to having 221 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 83 holds on the season (10th in the league). The Reds relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 69.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 159 save situations. They have recorded 49 saves for the season and have missed out on 22 of 71 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 287 base runners for the year with 28.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Reds have dispatched 546 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Reds have converted 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,784 innings, ranking them 18th in the majors. The Cincinnati Reds have 3,928 putouts on the year, as well as 1,181 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which puts them in 20th in baseball, and they have turned 113 double plays.

Abbott (8-5 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.12 and he has gone up against 409 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 82 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 39 walks. His ERA is 3.64 (40 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.222. Abbott has taken the ball for 99 innings and is sitting with 107 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

New York has hit 193 home runs on the season to go along with 617 RBIs. They have recorded 197 two-baggers, while getting a free base 479 times and putting up 635 runs. The New York Mets are sitting with an OBP of .318 and a team batting average of .238 this year. The Mets have a team SLG% of .408 and they have an average of 4.38 runs per contest (20th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,179 occasions (23rd in MLB) and have tallied 1,143 hits.

The New York pitching staff have relinquished 664 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.40 (619 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 173 dingers and they relinquish 4.72 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.375 and have a FIP of 4.54 as a unit so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.80 (1,238 strikeouts vs 545 free passes). They come in at 13th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,198.

New York has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 50 save chances and they have come away with 32 saves. They are currently ranked 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 64.0%, and they have sent 479 relievers onto the diamond for the year. Their relievers have come in 141 times in high leverage situations and on 143 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.0% of 215 inherited runners. Sitting with 135 save situations, the Mets have accumulated 80 holds and 18 blown saves.

In their 11,409 innings on the field, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (17th in professional baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 129 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 1,257 assists, 77 errors and have a total of 3,803 putouts during this campaign.

During his pro baseball career, Peterson has given up 302 hits while he has totaled 338 punch outs in 316 innings. Peterson (18-21 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.58 earned run average and has given up 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 161 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.407 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and he has gone up against 1,367 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-118)

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