Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/26/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Wednesday, July 26, 2023
Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+115) Milwaukee (-135)
The Cincinnati Reds (55-47) are hitting the road to American Family Field on Wednesday where they will go up against the Milwaukee Brewers (56-45). The moneyline on this matchup has Cincinnati at +115 while Milwaukee is priced at -135. The total is 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Ben Lively and Freddy Peralta.
The Reds have earned 175 doubles as a squad and have knocked 114 balls out of the stadium. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .414 and have been called out on strikes 909 times, while being walked on 364 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 4.9 runs per contest, which puts them at 9th in baseball. They have recorded 481 RBI's and 873 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .253. They have earned a total of 499 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .332.
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The Reds have compiled a team earned run average of 4.72 on the season (26th in the league), and the staff has struck out 864 batters. Reds pitchers have conceded 136 long balls in addition to 503 runs (26th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 386 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.77 as a squad on the year. Cincinnati has conceded 911 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 477 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.24 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.43.
Reds relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 141 times as well as having 160 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 59 holds this year (9th in baseball). The Reds relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 70.4% and has entered the game in 115 save situations. They have accumulated 38 saves over the course of the season and have blown 16 out of their 54 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 199 runners this year and 27.1% of them earned a run for their team. The Reds have dispatched 378 relievers to the hill so far this season.
The Reds have converted 68.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 8,193 innings, which has them sitting 20th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for 2,731 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 827 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which is 8th in pro baseball, and have a total of 81 double plays.
Lively has pitched in 180 frames and has 139 K's in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.49 (90 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.364. He has given up 190 hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 56 free passes. Lively (8-15 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.97 while he has gone up against 776 hitters during his time in the majors.
The Brewers have a team slugging % of .375 and they score 4.13 runs per contest (26th in baseball). They have recorded 143 doubles, while walking 358 times as well as recording 417 runs. Milwaukee is sitting with 105 home runs this season to go along with 401 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 928 instances (5th in baseball) and have accounted for 767 hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have a team OBP of .311 in addition to a team batting average of .231 for the season.
The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 422 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.93 (392 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 123 home runs and they concede 4.23 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.228 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.37 as a pitching staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.50 (850 strikeouts against 312 free passes). They are sitting at 4th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 790.
With 112 save situations, the Brewers have earned 65 holds and also 13 blown saves. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 46 save opportunities and they have tallied 33 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 107 times in high leverage situations and also on 76 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.4% out of their 109 inherited base runners. They are ranked 5th in baseball holding a save percentage of 71.7%, and they have dispatched 321 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.
The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 74 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in the majors). The Brewers have 872 assists, 46 errors and have accounted for 2,693 putouts this season. In their 8,079 innings on the diamond, the Brewers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (1st in pro baseball).
During his MLB career, Peralta has allowed 385 base knocks while tallying 657 punch outs in 518 innings pitched. Peralta (36-25 mark in his career) has a 4.00 earned run average while giving up 6.7 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 230 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.158 and a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.06 and he has faced 2,167 batters so far in his MLB career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+115)
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