Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/24/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, July 24, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-105) Milwaukee (-115)

The Cincinnati Reds (55-46) are headed to American Family Field on Monday where they will attempt to beat the Milwaukee Brewers (55-45). The moneyline on this contest has Cincinnati at -105 and Milwaukee is coming in at -115. The over/under comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Graham Ashcraft and Colin Rea.

The Reds have recorded 174 doubles as a squad and have hit 111 balls out of the park. Cincinnati owns a slugging percentage of .414 and have struck out 896 times, while drawing a walk on 361 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 4.9 runs per contest, which is 9th in MLB. They have accrued 472 runs batted in in addition to 854 hits on the season, while their batting average comes in at .253. They have 490 runs while having a team OBP of .333.

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The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 4.75 so far this year (26th in the league), and their staff has struck out 845 batters. Reds pitchers have conceded 134 home runs in addition to 497 runs (26th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 373 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.77 as a squad for the year. Cincinnati has surrendered 894 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 471 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.42.

The Reds relievers have recorded a save percentage of 69.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 112 save situations. The relievers have inherited 194 base runners so far this year with 27.8% of them crossed home plate. Reds pitchers have come into the game with runners on 137 times and also have had 152 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 367 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have notched 57 holds on the year (9th in the league). They have accumulated 37 saves on the season and have blown 16 out of their 53 chances to get a save.

The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with 2,680 putouts on the campaign, as well as 808 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which has them ranked 7th in MLB, and have earned 77 double plays. The Reds have transformed 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 8,040 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 19th in the majors.

Ashcraft has taken the ball for 198 innings and has tallied 137 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 5.30 (117 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.475. He has allowed 224 base knocks (10.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 69 free passes. Ashcraft (10-13 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.72 while facing 883 opposing batters in the majors.

Milwaukee has 103 HRs so far this season to go along with 396 RBIs. They have recorded 142 two-baggers, while taking a walk 347 times as well as putting up 412 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have an on-base percentage of .310 and a team batting average of .231 on the season. The Brewers have a team slugging % of .376 and they tally 4.16 runs per game (24th in the league). They have struck out on 908 occasions (5th in MLB) and have accounted for 753 base hits.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.237 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.38 as a squad so far this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (835 strikeouts against 311 walks). They rank 4th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 777. They have given up 120 dingers and they surrender 4.26 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Milwaukee pitching staff have relinquished 416 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.95 (386 earned runs yielded).

Milwaukee has had relievers step onto the hill in 45 save opportunities and they have tallied 33 saves. They are ranked 5th in MLB with a save rate of 73.3%, and they have sent 314 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 101 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with base runners. Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.7% out of 108 inherited base runners. With 109 save situations, the Brewers have recorded 63 holds and 12 blown saves.

In 7,917 innings played, the Brewers have a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (2nd in the majors). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 73 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB). The Brewers have recorded 851 assists, 46 errors and have earned 2,639 putouts for the year.

So far in his MLB career, Rea has surrendered 230 hits while he has totaled 191 punch outs in 239 frames. Rea (13-12 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.81 earned run average while conceding 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 128 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.306 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.30 and he has faced 1,032 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-105)

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