Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/13/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+145) Miami (-170)

The Cincinnati Reds (16-21) are en route to loanDepot park on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Miami Marlins (19-19). The line on this matchup has the Reds at +145 while the Marlins are coming in at -170. The over/under is set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Nick Lodolo and Sandy Alcantara.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 4.2 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 21st in MLB. They have accumulated 157 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .320. The Reds have accrued 56 two-baggers as a team and have hit 28 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 150 runs batted in and 299 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .245. Cincinnati is slugging .371 and have been rung up 335 times, while being walked on 119 occasions.

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The Reds hold a team ERA of 4.98 for the season (27th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 331 batters. Reds pitchers have given up 44 long balls and also 188 total runs (23rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 134 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.47 as a team on the season. Cincinnati has given up 351 base hits (9.8 per 9 innings) and 179 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.47 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.50.

Reds relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 52 times in addition to having 47 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 17 holds so far this season (20th in baseball). The Reds bullpen have a save percentage of 62.5% and stepped onto the hill in 35 save situations. They have recorded 10 saves this year and have blown 6 of 16 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 81 base runners on the campaign and 28.4% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Reds have sent 133 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Reds have converted 65.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,910 innings, ranking them 30th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 970 putouts for the season, as well as 290 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which ranks 16th in baseball, and have earned 30 double plays.

Lodolo has taken the mound for 137 innings and has tallied 178 K's during his career. Lodolo (6-8 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.38 while he has faced 607 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.31 (66 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.373. He has conceded 140 base knocks (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 49 walks.

The Marlins have a team slugging % of .376 and they have an average of 3.39 runs per contest (30th in the league). They have 58 two-baggers, while taking a walk 90 times as well as scoring 129 runs. Miami is sitting with 33 home runs for the year and 123 RBIs. They have been rung up on 326 instances (16th in MLB) and have accounted for 312 base knocks. The Miami Marlins have earned an on-base percentage of .300 in addition to a batting average of .246 so far this year.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.374 and have a FIP of 4.45 as a staff on the season. They are currently ranked 23rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 335. The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 183 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 4.53 (171 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.10 (345 strikeouts vs 132 walks). They have conceded 48 homers and they surrender 4.84 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).

Miami has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 15 save opportunities and they have earned 10 saves. They sit at 9th in MLB with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 131 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 47 times in high leverage situations and also on 41 occasions with runners on base. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 22.2% of 63 inherited base runners. With 32 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 17 holds and 5 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 33 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in pro baseball). The Marlins have recorded 331 assists, 24 errors and have 1,020 putouts during this campaign. In 3,060 innings played, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (25th in the majors).

During his pro baseball career, Alcantara has surrendered 634 base hits while he has earned 678 strikeouts in 759 innings pitched. Alcantara (35-46 career mark) has a 3.19 ERA and has given up 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 269 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.147 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.86 and he has faced 3,100 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-170)

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